2023 NFL win total predictions: Over/under picks for all 32 teams

Even though the 2023 NFL season is approximately 4 months far from starting, it’s never ever prematurely to hypothesize about win overalls — or to bank on them. Our Sports Betting experts have actually got you covered. Doug Kezirian, Tyler Fulghum, Erin Dolan and Eric Moody use their suggestions on whether you must take the over, under or keep away from each group’s overall.

Jump to:
ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | VEHICLE | CHI | CIN
CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND
JAX | KC | LAC | LAR | LV | MIA | MINUTES
NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF
SEA | TB | 10 | WSH

AFC EAST

Over/under: 10.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 11.5

Prediction: Over 10.5 wins. I fret the Bills have actually missed their champion window and Josh Allen’s injuries are installing. However, this overall feels too low, even as the department enhances and they have a first-place schedule. Buffalo might possibly win all 9 house video games, depending upon when it hosts warm-weather groups such as Dallas, Miami, Jacksonville, Las Vegas and Tampa Bay. –– Doug Kezirian


Over/under: 9.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 10.7

Prediction: Stay Away. Coach Mike McDaniel appears like he has this club headed in the ideal instructions. He has actually enhanced his skill, however it’s likewise a hard department. It seems like Miami will be associated with a number of close video games, and the variation of its season will likely depend upon the health of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. — Kezirian


Over/under: 9.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 9.3

Prediction: Over 9.5 wins. This boils down to quarterback Aaron Rodgers and whether you think in 2015 was an aberration or the start of completion. I believe the thumb injury was genuine and he is better to his current MVP kind. Thus, it is a huge upgrade at the most essential position and the Jets must be a force, offered they likewise have an elite defense. — Kezirian


Over/under: 7.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 7.6

Prediction: Under 7.5 wins. Seven of New England’s 8 wins last season came versus a backup quarterback. The offense figures to enhance with brand-new organizer Bill O’Brien, however this is still a minimal lineup and a schedule that may have the Patriots preferred in just 3 video games. — Kezirian


AFC NORTH

Over/under: 11.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 11.4

Prediction: Under 11.5 wins. The Bengals are undoubtedly a gifted group with an extremely high ceiling, however I like the under here since of my belief that the remainder of the department will be enhanced in 2023. Cincinnati plays a first-place schedule that may be a little harder on paper than the remainder of the groups’ schedules in this department. Of course, the Bengals have a high ceiling, however I see more courses to the under than the over. — Tyler Fulghum


Over/under: 9.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 10.1

Prediction: Over 9.5 wins. QB Lamar Jackson is back and signed to a long-lasting offer. Odell Beckham Jr. and Zay Flowers sign up with Mark Andrews and Rashod Bateman to form a powerful pass-catching corps. J.K. Dobbins is now a year gotten rid of from his knee injury. As long as Baltimore can break the spell of being among the most hurt groups in the league, I enjoy the wagering worth on the group for 2023. I’m playing the Ravens over this overall and banking on them to win the department. — Fulghum


Over/under: 8.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 9

Prediction: Pass. Is QB Deshaun Watson as bad as he searched in 2022? Can he discover the elite kind he showcased in Houston? I, honestly, do not understand. That’s the factor I hand down this group. That variable is too hard to forecast. If Watson plays like he carried out in his past, this might be an extremely hazardous group. If he plays like he carried out in 2022, this group will complete last in the department. — Fulghum


Over/under: 8.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 9.1

Prediction: Over 8.5 wins. All coach Mike Tomlin does is surface .500 or much better. Put it in stone. Slap a damn “Guaranteed” sticker label on package. If you read this column in 2015, you understand my preferred season-long win overall bet was the Steelers over 7.5 wins. Of course, Tomlin provided 9 wins with a novice QB, a quite bad offending line and just 10 video games with T.J. Watt. I anticipate the offense to be much more explosive this season, and any defense led by Watt and Minkah Fitzpatrick is going to be much better than average. I will constantly bank on Tomlin. — Fulghum

AFC SOUTH

Over/under: 9.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 8.8

Prediction: Stay away. On one hand the Jags went beyond expectations in 2015 with 9 regular-season wins. Their core stays undamaged and they play in an average AFC South Division. On the other hand, I am worried that Jacksonville is overhyped with a win overall this high offered it has actually won more than 9 video games just twice the previous 15 years. There are more pros than cons for the Jags, however I’m not happy to wager over or under on the win overall. — Erin Dolan


Over/under: 7.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 6.6

Prediction: Under 7.5 wins (-135). The Titans appear to be in restore mode. Tennessee didn’t sign any prominent totally free representatives this offseason. It currently made some cuts by launching particular veterans. Plus, there are concerns surrounding QB Ryan Tannehill. The Titans capture a break by the simple truth that they remain in the AFC South, however under 7.5 would be the play. — Dolan


Over/under: 6.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 6.4

Prediction: Over 6.5 wins (-125). The Colts had an underwhelming four-win season after Indy had a win overall set at 10.5 prior to the 2022 project. The most significant plus is the Colts hiring Shane Steichen as their brand-new head coach. Steichen was the Eagles’ offending organizer in 2022 and was the playcaller for among the very best offenses. The Colts have enough to overcome 6.5 wins with Steichen anticipated to repair the offending concerns and the defense continuing to be middle of the pack. — Dolan


Over/under: 5.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 6.3

Prediction: Stay away. The Texans’ 3 wins last season was the worst mark in the league. All wins came versus divisional challengers. Will Davis Mills or novice C.J. Stroud be the beginning quarterback? Can the Texans’ offense be any even worse after balancing 17 points per video game? Can the defense be any even worse after permitting 379.5 overall lawns per video game (ranked 30th)? Too numerous unanswered concerns. — Dolan


AFC WEST

Over/under: 11.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 11.7

Prediction: Over 11.5 wins. Since Patrick Mahomes ended up being the beginning quarterback in Andy Reid’s offense, the Chiefs have actually been an offending powerhouse, building up 12 or more wins in 4 out of 5 seasons. While the Chiefs’ defense isn’t best, it matches their high-powered offense. Their technique is to acquire an early lead and permit the defense to pressure challengers, comparable to the Colts throughout Peyton Manning’s prime years. The Chiefs got rid of a hard schedule last season to go beyond 11.5 wins, and they’re anticipated to deal with a likewise difficult schedule this year. Kansas City must strike over this mark. — Eric Moody


Over/under: 9.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 9.9

Prediction: Over 9.5 wins. The Chargers are poised for a strong season in 2023. With the addition of Kellen Moore as their offending organizer and a strong offending line, quarterback Justin Herbert has the prospective to grow, specifically with a healthy Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. The Chargers’ defense likewise has a great deal of prospective and can end up being a force under the assistance of head coach Brandon Staley and brand-new protective organizer Derrick Ansley. All in all, Los Angeles is a strong competitor for the AFC West title, and banking on it to exceed 9.5 wins is a sensible option. — Moody


Over/under number: 8.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 8.4

Prediction: Over 8.5 wins. The Broncos have the prospective to surpass their win overall this season with the addition of head coach Sean Payton, among the NFL’s leading offensive minds. If Payton can “fix” quarterback Russell Wilson, the Broncos might see substantial enhancement. Denver has actually likewise made excellent financial investments in its offending line and has actually talented getting playmakers. With a defense that might recuperate and complete as a top-10 system in 2023, the Broncos have a strong possibility of going beyond expectations under Payton’s management. — Moody


Over/under: 7.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 5.9

Prediction: Under 7.5 wins. While QB Jimmy Garoppolo may appear like a much better suitable for Josh McDaniels’ offending plan than Derek Carr, I suggest taking the under. Despite trading away tight end Darren Waller, the Raiders did indication Jakobi Meyers throughout totally free firm and still boast among the leading receivers in the league in Davante Adams. They likewise included Tyree Wilson in the draft, although it stays to be seen just how much of an effect he’ll have in his novice season. The Raiders did an outstanding task throughout totally free firm and the draft of strengthening their protective skill. While there is capacity here, it’s not likely that Las Vegas will see a substantial protective enhancement till late in the season. — Moody

NFC EAST

Over/under: 10.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 11

Prediction: Over 10.5 wins (-165). Although this line continues to get more steam, there is no case to wager an under on a group that has actually had an excellent offseason. The Eagles signed QB Jalen Hurts to a long-lasting offer and basically “won” the 2023 NFL draft. The NFC is not almost a beast like the AFC, and the Eagles must be winning left and ideal with the offense and defense that is undamaged. — Dolan


Over/under: 9.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 10.7

Prediction: Over 9.5 wins (-150). QB Dak Prescott played in just 12 regular-season video games last season since of injury, however Dallas still logged back-to-back 12-win routine seasons. The NFC East schedule will not be a piece of cake like it was in 2015, however the Cowboys must strike over this mark with a revamped training personnel and lineup. — Dolan


Over/under: 8.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 7.5

Prediction: Stay away. In Brian Daboll’s very first season as head coach, he led the Giants to their very first playoff win in more than ten years. The Giants’ unexpected 9 wins last season likewise saw the Cowboys take 2 one-score video games and the Commanders represent a tie. The 2023 schedule might truly check this group or the Giants might shock wagerers once again. Either method, I desire no part of this. — Dolan


Over/under: 7.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 5.4

Prediction: Under 7.5 (-170). I do not like to encourage futures bets that are this juicy, however I do think the Commanders will go under. Second-year quarterback Sam Howell might be the Commanders’ starter, as Carson Wentz and Taylor Heinicke moved along after the season. While the Commanders published 8 wins last season, Howell would lead an offense that balanced 18.9 points per video game. — Dolan


NFC NORTH

Over/under: 9.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 8

Prediction: Under 9.5 wins. I understand individuals are delighted about the trajectory of this group, and it is warranted. The Lions have a great deal of young skill on this group; nevertheless, they are still the Lions — a franchise that has little experience or success recognizing its capacity for many years. Should they truly be the department favorites? I’m not so sure. Their draft procedure was flawed. WR Jameson Williams is suspended the very first 6 video games of the season. I will not be wagering into the story that this group is the very best in the department. — Fulghum


Over/under: 8.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 9.2

Prediction: Pass. I really believe this is the group that ought to be preferred to win this department, however it’s not like I guarantee a group quarterbacked by Kirk Cousins that with confidence. I’ll hand down wagering this group although I do not see a large delta in between its ceiling and flooring. I believe this is a 7-to-10-win group this season, so too tight to have fun with any conviction. — Fulghum


Over/under: 7.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 7.7

Prediction: Over 7.5 wins. This is my preferred group to wager in the department. I am really bullish on the Bears in 2023 and beyond. It begins with QB Justin Fields, who I believe is a qualified star in the making. GM Ryan Poles has actually done a great task strengthening the skill around him on offense, so I believe he takes a huge leap this season in his advancement. The defense is still an operate in development, so I’m anticipating this group to be associated with a great deal of amusing shootouts. Bottom line: I am wagering huge on Fields and the Bears taking a substantial leap. — Fulghum


Over/under: 7.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 7.6

Prediction: Under 7.5 wins. I simply have not seen enough from QB Jordan Love in his profession to have any self-confidence that he can capably change Aaron Rodgers. I believe this franchise remains in for a quite huge shock when it recognizes the number of warts he concealed and got rid of. This offense is most likely to take a significant action back, and based upon my belief around the other groups in this department, I would not be shocked to see Green Bay really complete 4th in the North this season. — Fulghum


NFC SOUTH

Over/under: 9.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 9.7

Prediction: Over 9.5 wins. I had high hopes in 2022, and the Saints totally whiffed in some important video games. I think in regression, and Derek Carr must be a significant upgrade over an aging and minimal Andy Dalton. With a weak schedule, the table is set for a strong season. — Kezirian


Over/under: 8.0

Mike Clay’s forecast: 8.8

Prediction: Under 8.0 wins. They had some enjoyable minutes in 2022, however I cannot surpass an uninspiring Desmond Ridder predicted as the beginning quarterback. The offense does have playmakers, consisting of No. 8 general draft choice Bijan Robinson, and Atlanta did update the defense this offseason, however I do not see a winning record, even in what figures to be the league’s worst department. — Kezirian


Over/under: 7.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 7.4

Prediction: Under 7.5 wins. I am a Frank Reich follower, however what else exists to like? I believe Carolina downgrades at quarterback with an undersized Bryce Young. Even in a weak department, the Panthers might complete for the league’s worst record. — Kezirian


Over/under: 6.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 6.8

Prediction: Over 6.5 wins. In my eyes, this group really has a ceiling of double-digit wins. After a season whipped with injuries, this lineup has a lot of skill. QB Baker Mayfield revealed with the Rams that he can be sufficient when he plays within himself. — Kezirian

NFC WEST

Over/under number: 11.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 10.7

Prediction: Stay away. With the greatest season win overall amongst NFC groups, it’s difficult to neglect the skill on the 49ers’ lineup and their excellent go to the NFC Championship Game last season. However, it deserves keeping in mind that they play in the extremely competitive NFC West Division. Additionally, there is some unpredictability at quarterback for the 49ers, as it stays to be seen whether Brock Purdy or Trey Lance will be the starter in Week 1. These are a few of the reasons banking on their season win overall is hard today. — Eric Moody


Over/under number: 8.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 9.4

Prediction: Over 8.5 wins. Last season, Seattle went beyond expectations without Russell Wilson, winning 9 video games with Geno Smith, who was called Comeback Player of the Year. Looking ahead to 2023, the Seahawks’ offense stays mostly the same and has actually included 2 appealing novices in Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Zach Charbonnet. Moreover, Seattle has actually invested substantially in enhancing its defense throughout the offseason. Given all these aspects, it’s difficult to overlook that the 8.5-game forecast feels low for a group that might have quickly won more than 9 video games in what was expected to be a restoring year. — Moody


Over/under number: 5.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 6

Prediction: Under 5.5 wins. Following a turbulent season that consisted of a seven-game losing streak, the Cardinals completed with a below average 4-13 record. In an effort to turn things around, Arizona has actually worked with a brand-new head coach and basic supervisor to blaze a trail. However, the Cardinals are dealing with a duration of unpredictability, with both Kyler Murray’s late-season injury and reports of a possible DeAndre Hopkins trade hanging over their heads. While the group’s current strong draft bodes well for the future, the upcoming season is most likely to provide substantial difficulties, specifically in the extremely competitive NFC West. Bet the under. — Moody


Over/under number: 7.5

Mike Clay’s forecast: 4.9

Prediction: Under 7.5 wins. Last season, the Rams dealt with an absence of depth and injuries to crucial gamers such as Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp and members of their offending and protective lines. With a minimal variety of draft choices, a coach who might retire quickly and an aging quarterback, the Rams are dealing with some major difficulties. In addition, their defense wasn’t fantastic last season and is most likely to take an action back this season. Even if the offense enhances with Stafford and Kupp back, the Rams’ lineup is among the weakest in the league. — Moody

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