Bet like 'The Bear' - Chris Fallica's top picks and plays for the NFL draft

The 2022 NFL draft is upon us. Georgia DE Travon Walker has become the agreement favorite to be leading choice at sportsbooks, however what other gamers or props deserve banking on? Here are the bets I like and some “Bear Bytes” to assist you browse the draft.


The Bear’s best choices

George Karlaftis over 22.5 (+130)

In a draft deep at protective end, looks like a little bit of a reach that Karlaftis would go this early. He keeps slipping on the chances, so you’re getting a much better cost, and at finest I believe he returns end of the preliminary.

Over 5.5 WRs picked in preliminary (-400)

When it concerns prepare props, I’m more worried about the number, not as much about the juice. If I can get a multitude and need to lay juice, I’m OK with that, as I’m relying on and wagering my details on the number. That’s what I’m doing here. At minimum, I see 6 WRs entering the preliminary, perhaps even 7. I absolutely comprehend those who do not like laying this huge of a rate, however for those who do not mind, this deserves a play.

Cleveland Browns very first picked gamer – WR (+250)

The Browns did generate Amari Cooper, however provided they lost Jarvis Landry and Rashard Higgins, they would be finest served by contributing to their WR system to offer Deshaun Watson as lots of weapons as possible. Picking early in the 2nd round, Cleveland might have its choice of somebody like George Pickens, Christian Watson or John Metchie III.

Exact draft order: No. 1 Travon Walker, No. 2 Aidan Hutchinson (-200); No. 1 Travon Walker, No. 2 Kayvon Thibodeaux (+350)

I’m of the frame of mind Travon Walker will go initially total. So I will attempt to take full advantage of that by playing exactas with Aidan Hutchinson 2nd, along with Kayvon Thibodeaux, who has actually likewise been connected to the Lions. I’ll shade it much heavier towards Hutchinson, and if among them strikes, you’re great.


Bear Bytes

• Alabama has actually had actually 38 gamers picked in the preliminary because 2010. That’s 19 more than the next closest school (Ohio State). In addition, Alabama has actually had actually 59 gamers taken in the very first 2 rounds because period, 26 more than any other school.

• In the previous 6 years, 618 gamers have actually been picked on Days 1 and 2 of the NFL draft. Eighty-2 of them (13.3%) have actually originated from 2 schools: Alabama (43) and Ohio State (39). If one consists of LSU (25), 107 of the 618, or 17.3% of the choices, originated from those 3 schools.

• Only 2 AAC gamers have actually been picked in the leading 10: QB Blake Bortles 3rd total in 2014 and DL Ed Oliver ninth total in 2019. Cincinnati’s Ahmad Gardner will likely end up being the 3rd.

• The just Wolverine to be picked No. 1 total is T Jake Long, who went to the Dolphins in 2008. Long was likewise the last Michigan gamer picked greater than 10th. Since then, starting with the 2009 draft, 44 various schools have actually had a gamer picked with the leading 9 choices in the draft.

• Over the previous 6 drafts, the Buckeyes have actually had 7 gamers picked in the leading 10. That’s the most for any group.

• Penn State had a set of first-round choices in 2015 in Micah Parsons and Odafe Oweh. Prior to that, the Nittany Lions had one first-round choice in the previous 11 drafts (Saquon Barkley in 2018).

• The last Boilermaker picked in the preliminary was Ryan Kerrigan, 16th total to Washington in 2011. Since Kerrigan entered the preliminary, 74 various schools have actually had a first-round choice because the Boilermakers last did.

• The Longhorns have actually not had a first-round choice because DT Malcom Brown went to the Patriots with the last choice of the preliminary in 2015. This is the very first time in the history of the typical draft that Texas has actually gone 6 straight years without a first-round choice. Forty-6 of 65 Power 5 schools have actually had at least one first-round choice in the previous 6 drafts. Schools that have actually attained something Texas hasn’t over the previous 6 drafts — having a first-round choice — are Alabama State, Duke, Temple, UCF, North Dakota State, Memphis, San Diego State, Tulsa, Northwestern, Wyoming, Western Michigan, Utah State and Louisiana Tech, together with Texas schools Baylor, Houston, TCU, Texas A&M, Texas Tech and UTSA.

• Garett Bolles (20th total to the Broncos in 2017) was Utah’s last first-round choice. It hasn’t impacted the Utes much, as starting with 2016, Bolles’ last year in Salt Lake City, the Utes have more wins (49) than any other Pac-12 group (Washington is 2nd with 47).

• Since the millenium (2000 draft), just 2 Power 5 schools have actually not had actually a gamer picked in the preliminary — Indiana, whose last first-round choice was WR Thomas Lewis in 1994, and Iowa State, whose just first-round choice was RB George Amundson in 1973. Could Breece Hall end that dry spell?

• In the previous 6 years, 618 gamers have actually been picked in the very first 3 rounds, and 282 of the 618 (45.6%) played in the SEC (175) or Big Ten (107). The ACC is next with 87, followed by the Pac-12 at 72 and Big 12 with 51. It’s a lot more significant if you restrict it to Round 1. Of the 191 gamers picked in the preliminary the previous 5 years, 102, or 53.4%, played in either the SEC (66) or Big Ten (36).

• Since 2009, the Jets have actually picked 4 USC gamers in the preliminary. WR Drake London has actually been reported to the Jets at choice No. 10.

• Since 2016, the Patriots have actually had 4 first-round choices. Three went to either Alabama (Mac Jones) or Georgia (Isaiah Wynn, Sony Michel). Is there a prop where I can wager the Patriots will take either Nakobe Dean or Devonte Wyatt?

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