Betting tips for Monday Night Football

Week 3 of the NFL season concludes on Monday night with the New York Giants (-1, 39) hosting the Dallas Cowboys at MetLife Stadium (ESPN/ABC/ESPN+, 8:15 PM ET).

After an interesting Sunday of action, we have another chance to bet on expert football if we so select. So what plays do our experts like in Week 3’s Monday night video games?

Betting experts Joe Fortenbaugh and Anita Marks, dream and sports wagering experts Eric Moody and Andre Snellings, ESPN expert Jason Fitz, ESPN Stats & Information’s Seth Walder and Football Outsiders’ Aaron Schatz offer their leading plays.

Note: Lines from Caesars Sportsbook unless otherwise suggested.

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (-1, 39)
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, MetLife Stadium

The Giants go into Monday night’s video game versus the Cowboys at 2-0 for very first time in 6 years. What are your ideas on the spread and the overall for this video game? Who do you like?

Schatz: Well, I composed recently about the Giants as one of the worst 2-0 groups in the previous 40 years. We likewise had them ranked dead last in our preseason forecasts at Football Outsiders. On the other hand, we predict Dallas as the worst offense in the league now that they have Cooper Rush as their beginning quarterback. Nonetheless, I prefer Dallas in this video game due to the fact that of defense. The Cowboys defense ranked 2nd in the NFL in DVOA in 2015 and they are 6th up until now this year. The Giants defense ranks 20th up until now this year. The Giants are likewise 29th in Pass Rush Win Rate and have no cornerback depth — an issue with Michael Gallup returning for Dallas in this video game.

Snellings: The Giants are not as excellent as their 2-0 record, as shown by their 27th ranked FPI rating of -4.7. Even so, they rank ahead of the Cowboys’ -6.2 FPI without Dak Prescott, which ranks 30th in the NFL. The Giants have actually highlighted their run video game this season, keeping video games close up until they can win at the end. If they have the ability to reproduce this on Sunday, the run video game might lessen the Cowboys’ pass rush and keep the pressure on Rush to need to produce. The FPI forecast has the Giants with a 56.1% opportunity to win straight-out and an anticipated margin of 1.8 points. I tend to concur, and lean towards the Giants here.

Fitz: Expectations going into the season have actually truly affected the tone of our discussions about both of these groups. Because very little was anticipated of the Giants, the buzz is beginning to grow for 2-0. However, not every 2-0 group is developed the exact same. The sky was succumbing to the Cowboys entering into Week 2 however their capability to get a win over Cincinnati silenced the doubt … in the meantime. The Cowboys are never ever as excellent as anticipated due to the fact that the expectations are unreasonable. That being stated, they’re still a much better group than the Giants. The Dallas defense and super star Micah Parsons can manage the Giants. Rush will have adequate time to toss to do what he requires to. The Cowboys win a close one.

Moody: Despite needing to go with Rush at quarterback, the Cowboys still beat the Bengals, showing they may be simply great without Prescott while he recuperates from his thumb injury. The Giants might be 2-0, however it’s protested bad competitors. The Cowboys tend to shine in primetime. Dallas is 5-2 versus the spread in Monday night video games given that 2015. The Cowboys have actually struck the over 4 times. I like Dallas to cover and surpass the overall.

Fortenbaugh: I lean to the Giants, here, however it’s simply a lean. I comprehend the reality that not all 2-0 groups are as excellent as their record appears, however you can’t reject the reality that Big Blue is a qualified, orderly football group this season (rather than what we have actually seen recently). Furthermore, this is a low-cost rate for a house divisional match on Monday Night Football. Dallas was outstanding in recently’s win over Cincinnati, however do not forget the reality that the Cowboys blew a 17-3 lead and needed to win it at the buzzer. This is likewise Mike McCarthy and business’s very first journey of the season, so keep that in mind too.

Marks: In Daniel Jones I trust. Through the very first 2 weeks of the season, Jones has actually been pushed more than any quarterback in the NFL. Despite that, he is sporting an over 80% conclusion portion and has actually been the most precise passer in the NFL. Marinate because — together with the reality that his leading receiver is … Richie James. Who??!? Jones has actually had the ability to move the chains with his legs in essential areas to assist the Giants get to 2-0. Giants DC Wink Martindale gets both Kayvon Thibodeaux and Azeez Ojulari back on the protective line and will have a lot in shop for Mr. Rush. I will lay the points with the G-Men!

Saquon Barkley gone into Week 3 leading the league in hurrying (236 backyards). He presently has the third-best chances (+600) to complete the season with the most hurrying backyards, behind Nick Chubb and Jonathan Taylor. What are your ideas on Barkley’s opportunities to win the hurrying title?

Schatz: Even if Barkley is back to his old self, I do not believe he’s going to get the obstructing he requires to win the hurrying title. The Giants rank 20th in adjusted line backyards and 30th in Run Block Win Rate through 2 video games. Barkley has actually gotten the majority of his yardage on his own, and he can’t rely on getting a lot of 68-yard runs over the course of a 17-game season.

Moody: Barkley has a great chance of winning. Before the routine season started, he was a dark-horse prospect. In addition to looking healthy and identified, Barkley is running strongly and strongly. This season, Barkley has actually balanced 19.5 hurrying efforts per video game, and head coach Brian Daboll has actually revealed a desire to feed him. With the Giants’ much enhanced offending line, gamblers ought to take Barkley seriously.

Snellings: Barkley is off to an outstanding start lugging the rock, and he has the skill to lead the league, however concerns about his offending line and his history of resilience would keep me from banking on him at +600. I like both Taylor and Chubb much better to win, and I likewise like Derrick Henry +1400, Joe Mixon +2000 and Javonte Williams +2500 at their chances more than Barkley at his.

Fitz: I’m not all set to quit on Taylor. The Colts have actually had injury problems and dreadful play from the left deal with position however the Colts understand their finest course to winning video games in a bad AFC South is to develop the run. Taylor might not have the big emphasize reel runs up until now that Barkley does, however I think less in those and more in consistency. We understand the Colts identity which will just benefit Taylor as the season proceeds.

Fortenbaugh: Pass. I enjoy the method Barkley is running, however he hasn’t precisely dealt with the best of the best in concerns to NFL run defenses. You likewise need to consider the injury issues, as the Penn State item has actually appeared in simply 17 of New York’s last 35 contests.

Walder: No thanks. I concur with Schatz about the stopping, however likewise I simply do not believe the Giants are great. They’re going to lag in video games which’s going to restrict Barkley’s chances. Plus, Barkley has actually constantly been a little a boom-or-bust runner. The reality that he’s had a 68-yard bring so far is good, however I prepare for there will be some fallow durations ahead.

The Cowboys enter Monday night with the third-most sacks (8) in the NFL, led by sophomore feeling Micah Parsons. Do you like Parsons to win Defensive Player of the Year this season?

Moody: Parsons is the frontrunner for the award, and it’s his to lose. This person is effective, fast and attacks from all angles and from all positions. Nevertheless, groups understand they should prepare for Parsons. He hasn’t been found out yet. Parsons has 15 pass-rush wins this season, the most by any gamer in the league. One of his objectives this season was to go beyond the NFL sack record of 22.5. Parsons presently has 4 sacks going into Week 3.

Snellings: Yes, I do. Parsons is simply various. It appeared as a novice, and the reality that he was a novice might have been the greatest consider him not winning last season. This season, he’s off to an even much better start, in 2015’s DPoY T.J. Watt is hurt, and Parsons’ capability to play defense at an All-Madden level while opposing offenses appear set to “easy” bodes well for his opportunities.

Fitz: Yup. Without a doubt. These awards are part play and part buzz. When you are getting the buzz every day that he is solving now, it seems like it becomes his award to lose. Given the reality that the Cowboys constantly get eyeballs, individuals are seeing a terrific gamer who is playing exceptionally well. When momentum satisfies success, it’s a no-brainer to me.

Fortenbaugh: I’d munch at +325. He’s an outright beast betting the most popular franchise in the NFL. Say what you desire, however when it pertains to the Cowboys, even a 6-11 season gets lots of broadcast. Parsons will remain in the spotlight all year.

Marks: Yes. I stated it and put the ticket in prior to the season started. Parsons is a once-in-a-decade gamer, and currently has 4 sacks this season. The Cowboys are lastly utilizing him properly — as an outdoors linebacker (not inside), permitting him on celebration to put his dirt in the ground and get after the quarterback.

Walder: I do. Check out the win rate chart at edge through 2 weeks. Parsons is controling the position in a manner we have actually truly just seen from the similarity Aaron Donald. Only a two-game sample? Sure, however it’s on the heels of a novice season in which he led the league in pass rush win rate. So yeah, I’m completely purchasing. Parsons is unique.

What is your best choice for Monday night’s video game?

Schatz: It’s Barkley over 22.5 getting backyards (-137). Linebacker is not a strength of this Giants defense, and I believe Barkley can enter into open area a number of times to acquire getting backyards. I anticipate a video game better to his 6 catches for 30 backyards in Week 1 versus Tennessee.

Snellings: I like Noah Brown to review 37.5 overall getting backyards (-113). Gallup and Dalton Schultz are both noted as doubtful for Monday night, however even if both play, Brown simply has actually clear chemistry with QB Cooper Rush. Brown has balanced 5 receptions for nearly 80 backyards in the very first 2 video games, with the huge bulk of that production featuring Rush under center. I anticipate Rush to look Brown’s way early and typically on Monday night.

Fortenbaugh: Give me Daniel Jones over 18.5 conclusions (-135). He’s balancing 20.8 conclusions per video game for his profession and 19.5 conclusions per video game on the season. Beyond that, Dallas is allowing approximately 21 conclusions per video game through the very first 2 weeks of the 2022 project. I believe the Dallas defense takes a hit playing in their very first roadway video game of the season and, with this line presently sitting with Big Blue as 1-point favorites, it appears like we ought to be dealt with to a competitive match with both groups tossing the ball late into the 4th quarter.

Marks: The 2 props I like one of the most are Rush tossing an INT (-115) and Kenny Golladay scoring a TD (+450). As I composed previously, Wink Martindale now has the skill to get uber-creative, and tee up a couple of unique appearances that Rush will have a difficult time figuring out. Also, call me insane (and I’ve been called even worse) however the squeaky wheel gets the grease today! The Giants are paying Golladay excessive (4 years, $72 million) for him to just use 2 snaps per video game. Daboll will get him included today.

Walder: This is simply a “gut feel” play here however I like under 19.5 in the very first half (-110). I believe both groups will figure that this is a winnable video game if they can prevent errors, take a look at their quarterbacks, and believe the very best method to prevent mistakes is to keep the ball out of their hands. A heavy ground video game early on from both groups would produce some ineffective offense — and keep the clock moving.

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