Celtics vs. Heat picks, best bets, odds for Game 5: Miami is still a big road underdog

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Now that we remain in the thick of the NBA playoffs, the basketball wagering market is hotter than ever. CBS Sports will be supplying day-to-day choices throughout of the postseason. Sam Quinn will make a minimum of one choice for every single video game in between now and the NBA Finals. All lines thanks to Caesars Sportsbook.

Featured Game | Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat

As a matter of concept, I decline to lay eight-and-a-half points on a group that lost its very first 2 house video games versus this exact same challenger. The spreads for Games 1 and 2 were likewise uneven and look what took place? Boston has actually beat Miami for approximately a quarter and a half in this series. The remainder of the series, at best, has actually been reasonably close or greatly in Miami’s favor. Boston may win this video game, however if it does, we should not anticipate it to be a blowout. The Pick: Heat +8.5

We’ve had actually 2 video games come within a half-point of this overall (216 in Game 2 and 215 in Game 4), however the other 2 have actually been heavy overs. That ought to be the expectation so long as Boston continues to begin a small-ball lineup. If Boston’s 3-point shooting regression continues as it carried out in Game 4, this ought to be a comfy over. The only worry here would be that Gabe Vincent’s injury harms the Heat offensively, however keep in mind, the gamers they’d likely stress more if Vincent is scratched (Duncan Robinson and Kyle Lowry) are both capable offending gamers. The Pick: Over 215.5

The Athletic reported on Wednesday that Malcolm Brogdon is having fun with a torn tendon in his best arm. That has actually restricted him to simply 2 points in his previous 2 video games, and more notably, he played just 35 minutes in those video games. If he can’t really contribute for the Celtics today, Boston’s guard minutes will be committed completely to Marcus Smart and Derrick White, as Payton Pritchard had a hard time strongly throughout his Game 1 stint. Smart has a history of boosting shots in huge video games, so couple that with the included chance Brogdon’s injury offers, and he ought to install numbers in Game 5. The Pick: Marcus Smart over 12.5 Points

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