Dusan Vlahovic transfer analysis: Will Fiorentina ace move to Arsenal in January and is he worth $85 million?

Arsenal and Juventus lead the January chase for Fiorentina’s in-form striker Dusan Vlahovic. The 21-year-old Serbian has actually strongly developed himself as one of Europe’s most popular homes after scoring 33 Serie An objectives in 2021 — a joint-record together with Cristiano Ronaldo (you can capture each and every single Serie A match streaming just on Paramount+).

Fiorentina are definitely not except suitors however are likewise in no rush to offer Vlahovic this month. The Belgrade-born forward is valued at around $85 million and just recently reacted to move speculation by specifying his focus is to assist La Viola receive Europe.

“Only God knows what will happen in the next period,” stated Vlahovic, who has 16 of Fiorentina’s 34 Serie An objectives this season. “My wish is to bring Fiorentina to Europe. We have not been there for a long time. I don’t know what can happen overnight. We’ll see.”

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Vlahovic is definitely open up to a January transfer however will not hurry into a relocation. However, with his agreement ending in June 2023 a sale this month may command the most significant charge. CBS Sports comprehends Fiorentina are positive they’ll get an appealing charge in the summer season, too, due to the volume of suitors. They anticipate much more clubs to be circling around Vlahovic in six-months time.

Vlahovic scored 33 league objectives in 2021 from 122 shots exceeding his anticipated objectives (23.69) by 10.
TruMedia/Stats Perform

So how most likely is Vlahovic to leave in January?

The brief response is both Vlahovic and Fiorentina will be swayed by a January relocation, however just if the best deal can be found in. The long response is even more complex and detailed.

From Fiorentina’s viewpoint, they are resigned to losing Vlahovic in 2022. La Viola naturally long for a significant transfer charge — in the ballpark of $85 million — with appealing add-ons. These would be activated by Vlahovic’s looks or objectives scored and possibly Champions League credentials from his brand-new club. A generous sell-on portion will be essential to strike any offer, too.

Vlahovic himself is rather content in Florence. Naturally, a January transfer will considerably increase his revenues. But it would likewise need to ensure him European (if not Champions League) soccer next season, whereas a summer season relocation enables him to understand precisely what he remains in for in 2022-23.

In a World Cup year, he’ll likewise understand getting routine video game time if he signs up with among Europe’s elite clubsSerbia received Qatar in design with Vlahovic (4) and Fulham’s Aleksandar Mitrovic (8) contributing 12 objectives as Dragan Stojkovic’s side won their group ahead of Portugal without losing a video game.

With the first-ever winter season World Cup not beginning till November, Vlahovic does not need to tension about speculation surrounding his future sidetracking him throughout the competition which’s partially why he remains in no rush to leave now.
 

Serbia won 6 and drew 2 of their 8 qualifiers en path to Qatar. 
Getty Images

Are Arsenal favorites to sign Vlahovic?

Arsenal have actually highlighted Vlahovic as their primary striker target in January, ahead of both Real Sociedad’s Alexander Isak and Everton’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

The Gunners are prepared to use $60 million plus Uruguayan midfielder Lucas Torreira (valued at $17 million), who is currently on-loan at Fiorentina and has actually made 15 Serie A appearances to date this season.

Fiorentina do have the alternative to purchase Torreira independently for $17 million when his loan spell ends this summer season.
Getty Images

Manager Mikel Arteta has actually made clear of his desire to strengthen his assaulting alternatives; and when asked straight about Vlahovic, he reacted that “[Arsenal’s technical director] Edu and his team are working very hard because we know exactly what we need to do…”

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is presently at the Africa Cup of Nations with Gabon and might plausibly be offered in January after having his dedication questioned prior to being removed of the captaincy in December. And with Eddie Nketiah likewise getting in the last 6 months of his agreement (and Crystal Palace chasing his signature) Arsenal urgently need an objective scorer — nearly as much as they require midfield support.

The quite public Aubameyang fall-out, combined with fourth-placed Arsenal’s motivating type, has super-charged the Vlahovic chase, and more broadly put pressure on Edu to discover a marquee striker this window to make sure Champions League soccer is protected.

Lille’s extremely sought-after Jonathan David is on Arsenal’s radar however the Canadian is not readily available prior to the summer season and preferably Arteta does not wish to wait that long to discover a flagship striker. 

The great news for Arsenal is Fiorentina are not versus a cash-plus-player offer — although sources inform CBS Sports an even more $8-10 million is still required to additional advance talks.

But the genuine (and possibly overwhelming) difficulty is persuading Vlahovic to sign up with. There is definitely some reality to rumblings he’s lukewarm on a transfer to North London.

That does not imply a transfer is difficult. But Arsenal should be prepared to make Vlahovic among the leading earners at the Emirates Stadium and, as notably, offer him on how he suits.

He must work well as a centerpiece in Arteta’s 4-2-3-1 system, however will desire assurances of playing time and to get sense of who else might sign up with — specifically any targets that will offer him with quality service.

Arsenal are most likely to focus on protective or box-to-box main midfielders in this window considering that they are sporadic because location. Lyon’s Brazilian Bruno Guimaraes has actually been connected, however according to CBS transfer master Fabrizio Romano will cost a minimum of $60 million and is not presently on Edu’s January shortlist.

Palmeiras’ left-footed, deep-lying midfielder Danilo appears a more reasonable target (you can capture all the Palmeiras matches, along with the remainder of the Brasileirao just on Paramount+). The 20-year-old has actually won back-to-back Copa Libertadores and would offer immediate cover for Thomas Partey, who is presently at the Africa Cup of Nations with Ghana.

If Vlahovic has appointments, maybe he’ll wait a couple of weeks to see what other concrete service Arsenal total. This would leave the Gunners in limbo, and maybe trigger them to go with Isak or Calvert-Lewin rather. After all, Arteta has actually made it clear he does not desire gamers who aren’t offered on the club.

“Everyone wants to come here,” he informed Arsenal legend Ian Wright back in May 2020. “We have a really clear idea of what we are. If I have to convince a player to stay or join us. To Arsenal? It holds me back a little.”

Essentially, Arteta should swallow his pride and make a clear and individual pitch to Vlahovic. And to do that he (or Edu) likewise require to win over Vlahovic’s representative, Darko Ristic, which has actually shown challenging to date.

The desire is plainly there from Arsenal – and they are presently the most active suitor, mainly since they understand a fast January offer is their finest possibility of success. But to call them ‘favorites’ would be minimizing the truth that Vlahovic — through a mix of care and aspiration instead of ego — is playing hard to get.

Who else has an interest in finalizing Vlahovic?

Arsenal’s primary competitor for Vlahovic in January is Fiorentina’s bitter opponents Juventus. Vlahovic sees a transfer to the Serie A champs as a bit more steady considering that it would permit him to stay near loved ones.  

But Juventus are presently 5th in Serie A; and regardless of beginning their 2022 with an impressive 4-3 win at Roma they are by no ways ensured Champions League soccer next season.

They crucial concern is whether Fiorentina wish to do more service with Juve. Federico Bernardeschi (2017) and Federico Chiesa (2020) both switched Florence for Turin, however Chiesa’s departure left a bad taste. Fiorentina’s Italian-American President Rocco Commisso declared Juventus “stole” the Italian winger utilizing “dirty work” as part of a two-year loan with a commitment to purchase.

Vlahovic is extremely not likely to be lent anywhere, even with a commitment to purchase, so Juve’s monetary concerns will need them to unload gamers initially prior to sending a January deal. 

Tottenham might be a consider this regard considering that Antonio Conte likes a $55 million swoop for winger Dejan Kulusevski, which simply may set off a Juve deal for Vlahovic. 

Spurs likewise have not eliminated finalizing Vlahovic, who is understood to be a fan of Conte, themselves. The Italian’s predecessor, Nuno Espirito Santo, desired the Serbian over the summer season however Vlahovic was fretted he’d wind up an understudy to Harry Kane. But with Kane just handling 4 Premier League objectives to date, and possibly leaving this summer season, Vlahovic would certainly feel less worried about his location in the chain of command now.

Conte’s 3-4-3 system compliments his strengths. He flourishes playing as the centerpiece in Fiorentina’s front 3 (in a 4-3-3) and his arrival would provide the Tottenham employer the possibility to change to his preferred 3-5-2-formation released at Inter. Atletico Madrid, Manchester City, Milan and Paris Saint-Germain are other clubs hunting Vlahovic however the quartet would choose to make their relocation in the summer season.

What kind of gamer is Vlahovic?

Vlahovic requested Ibrahimovic’s t-shirt when the set satisfied in March in Milan’s 3-2 success at Fiorentina.
Getty Images

A Vlahovic relocate to Milan would see him connect with his boyhood idol Zlatan Ibrahimovic, who he designed his video game on.

Ex-Fiorentina striker Valeri Bojinov — who had fun with Vlahovic at Partizan — notified then-Fiorentina sporting director Pantaleo Corvino to his skill about a year prior to a pre-contract was concurred in June 2017.

“I told Corvino to sign Vlahovic when he was 15 or 16,” Bolinov informed Transfermarkt. “Vlahovic was crazy, really crazy. He used to tell me, ‘I am a Zlatan Ibrahimovic from Belgrade, I will play for the strongest clubs.’ I liked his arrogance. I thought he would become a strong player.”

Like Zlatan, left-footed Vlahovic is a natural finisher and quite conventional number 9. At 6ft 3in, he’s high and physical however with a deft touch normally connected with a more small forward. His most significant strength is his book shooting strategy. It has actually enabled him to sign up with another impact, Erling Haaland, as one of simply 4 gamers born considering that 2000 to score a minimum of 20 objectives in among Europe’s leading 5 leagues.

“I watch Haaland and I try to understand his finishing and how he moves,” Vlahovic informed La Repubblica. “Then I focus on my strong points and my weaknesses. It may be presumptuous, but with commitment I can get there too.” This season Vlahovic tops the Serie A charts for for objectives, post-shot anticipated objectives and shots taken and ranks 2nd for anticipated objectives and touches in the opposition box. 

DUSAN VLAHOVIC IN 2021/22 SERIE A (SOURCE: TWENTY3)

OBJECTIVES

16

1

EXPECTED OBJECTIVES

11.08

2

POST-SHOT EXPECTED GOALS

12.82

1

TOUCHES IN OPPOSITION BOX

93

2

SHOTS TRIED

63

1

Vlahovic’s rate has likewise pleased CBS Sports expert Micah Richards, who thinks he’d use a Premier League club the total bundle. 

“I have watched him a couple of times now,” Richards informed BBC Sport. “He is lightning. It’s ridiculous. His left foot is like a wand. I am telling you now, he is everything you need.”

Naturally for a 21-year-old, there are still locations for enhancement too. The very first thing to note is that 5 of Vlahovic’s 16 Serie An objectives this project (and 12 of his 44 at Fiorentina) have actually originated from charges — barely a sustainable goal-scoring technique. His shot map likewise reveals a couple of a lot of low-percentage efforts from outside package or severe angles.

Vlahovic has actually scored 16 objectives in 1,698 minutes this season in Serie A.
TruMedia/Stats Perform

The other location of moderate issue is Vlahovic isn’t constantly excessively associated with video games. This season he averages simply 33.4 touches per 90 minutes. He is entrusted with being an outlet, getting the ball from deep, unloading it then making his method into the location. But his 71% pass-competition is much even worse than Fiorentina’s average (84.4%). In truth, of the 368 gamers in Serie A who have actually tried more than 100 passes this season in Serie A, just 34 have a lower pass conclusion than he does. Vlahovic has actually likewise been associated with the least open-play series on his group per 90 minutes (27.4). In other words, he’s not truly part of La Viola’s develop play.

Vlahovic invests the majority of his time in main locations.
TruMedia/Stats Perform

Vlahovic isn’t asked to push at Fiorentina however a transfer to the majority of his suitors (specifically the Premier League ones) would more than likely need him to do so and typically use a bit more defensively.

That’s what makes Lille’s David such a demanded possibility. He’s is significantly more generous and associated with video games, continuously linking play. In contrast, Vlahovic is a powerful yet old-school striker. When he ratings, and it’s frequently, he wins video games and kudos however if he does not discover the internet he can put in some beautiful confidential screens.

What will occur next?

It truly all depend upon Vlahovic instead of Fiorentina. La Viola will listen to deals and likewise will not stop the Serbian leaving for the best rate. Either Arsenal should make Vlahovic an unbelievable pitch he simply can’t decline — or in strongly attempting, wind up speeding up the Serbian’s exit in other places in January.

And if Vlahovic isn’t encouraged by Arsenal, he might simply wait till the summer season to choose his future when the similarity PSG and Manchester City would likely go into the race. Fiorentina are comfy postponing a sale considering that they’d then have their star male to attempt and receive Europe. La Viola last appeared in the Europa League in 2016-17 and have not belonged to the Champions League considering that 2009-10 when the lost to Bayern Munich in the last 16.

Unfortunately for Arsenal, the longer the legend drags out the less most likely they are to land their target, so the next couple of weeks are quite a test of Edu’s settlement abilities and the club’s aspiration as they seek to attempt and manage a dream finalizing.



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