Monday NBA picks, best bets: High-scoring Heat-Knicks, Warriors bounce back vs. Lakers

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Now that we remain in the thick of the NBA playoffs, the basketball wagering market is hotter than ever. CBS Sports will be offering everyday choices throughout of the postseason. Sam Quinn will make a minimum of one choice for every single video game in between now and the NBA Finals. All lines thanks to Caesars Sportsbook.

Featured Game | Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks

The offense in this series has actually been unpleasant, however I’m leaning towards the over in Game 4 for 2 factors. First, the Knicks attempted something they essentially never ever do on Saturday: they played Julius Randle and Obi Toppin together. Whether or not that especially pairing sticks is immaterial. The point was that the Knicks were desperate enough for offense that they wanted to attempt any lineup mix to get it. That recommends that they are going to tilt their lineups more towards scoring in Game 4, which ought to enhance both offenses. Second, the Knicks are due for an uptick in shooting. They’ve made simply 36.5% of their wide-open 3’s in this series, and more significantly, they’re shooting a terrible 20.8% on open 3’s. There’s regression coming. It may not swing the video game result, however it ought to enhance the scoring in Game 4 by a couple of points. The Pick: Over 207

Featured Game | Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors

Anthony Davis is having among the complete stranger postseasons you’ll ever see. In odd-numbered video games, Davis is balancing 27.8 points. In even-numbered video games? He’s balancing 13. His rebounds are down also, and while the Lakers are 4-1 in odd-numbered video games, they are simply 2-3 in even-numbered video games. Now, there is a lots of randomness that enters into those numbers. They should not be dealt with as gospel. But they indicate a bigger pattern. The Lakers are exceptionally dependent on Davis. Asking him to be superhuman every night is impractical. He’s going to have down video games. If you presume he has an off-night after his extraordinary Game 3, that ought to offer the Warriors the increase they require to win this thing and connect the series at 2 video games each. The Pick: Warriors +3

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