NFL Week 3 overreactions and reality checks: Jaguars best in AFC South? Bills can't win big games?

This week in the NFL wasn’t as insane as the very first 2 weeks of the year, a go back to normalcy in the league — sort of. The Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills both lost video games Sunday, which is uncommon for 2 of the league’s powerhouse groups — while the Philadelphia Eagles and Miami Dolphins are the league’s only 3-0 groups (the unbeaten New York Giants play Monday). 

This league has actually been more competitive than ever, as there have actually been 18 video games chosen by 3 points or less this season — the most such video games through the very first 3 weeks of a season in NFL history. There have actually been 25 video games this season chosen by six-or-fewer points, connected with 2013 for the most such video games through the very first 3 weeks — and there’s one video game to use Monday night. 

While the NFL has a lot of groups attempting to figure themselves out, there are a lot of overreactions to opt for the arise from Sunday. These are the very best responses from each video game in Week 3, and whether these stories are overreactions or truth. 

Jaguars are the very best group in the AFC South

Overreaction or truth: Reality 

The turn-around Doug Pederson has actually made with this Jaguars group has actually made him among the early favorites for Coach of the Year. Jacksonville has actually a smothering defense that has held challengers to simply 5.0 points per video game over the last 2 weeks — consisting of holding the effective Chargers offense to just 10 points in a controling 38-10 win Sunday. 

Trevor Lawrence is an entirely various quarterback and has enough pass catchers to get back at much better as the season advances. Christian Kirk has actually been an issue for opposing defenses as he’s been a strong weapon in the slot. James Robinson has actually been improving by the week, simply 9 months eliminated from that Achilles tear. 

With how the AFC South has actually cared for 3 weeks, the Jaguars are the group to beat at the minute. 

Overreaction or truth:  Reality 

Hurts is the very first gamer in NFL history to typical 300 passing backyards per video game and 50 hurrying backyards per video game after the very first 3 video games of the season. The Eagles quarterback had another dominant efficiency versus the Commanders, finishing 22 of 35 passes for 340 backyards with 3 goals and no interceptions for a 123.5 passer score. 

Hurts is among simply 6 quarterbacks with a passer score over 100 and has 7 goals (4 death, 3 hurrying). The Eagles are off to a 3-0 start and are among simply 2 unbeaten groups in the NFC after 3 weeks. 

Hurts is not simply a MVP prospect. He’s among the front-runners for the award. 

Josh McDaniels ought to be very first head coach fired this year

Overreaction or truth:  Overreaction

McDaniels is showing he should not have actually been offered a 2nd opportunity as a head coach, as proof by the Raiders’ 0-3 start to the year — a season after the franchise made the playoffs with interim Rich Bisaccia. Despite the 0-3 start, the Raiders’ 3 losses are by a combined 13 points — the 3rd least expensive quantity by any group beginning 0-3 over the last 25 years. 

The third-down effectiveness was dreadful versus the Titans (1 of 12) and red zone conversions were simply as bad (2 of 6). McDaniels was expected to enhance Vegas because department, however hasn’t had the ability to perform with more weapons at his disposal. 

Vegas should not carry on from McDaniels yet, however he’s on the hot spot. An 0-3 start is not what the Raiders visualized with these offseason relocations. 

Overreaction or truth:  Overreaction

This was a video game Cincinnati required after a hard 0-2 start, as the Bengals leapt out to a 20-6 lead over the Jets and never ever recalled. Joe Burrow appeared like Joe Burrow once again, finishing 23 of 36 passes for 275 backyards with 3 goals, no interceptions, and a 114.9 passer score. 

Cincinnati was 7 of 14 on 3rd down, had simply 5 charges, and enabled simply 2 sacks (enabled 13 in the very first 2 video games). While the win was required, the Bengals need to play the unbeaten Dolphins Thursday night prior to conference Lamar Jackson and the Ravens in Week 5 in another prime-time affair. 

Splitting those 2 video games will keep the Bengals afloat, however they need to secure Burrow and play much better in the very first half versus harder competitors. Then, this overreaction comes true. 

Lamar Jackson is the front-runner for MVP

Overreaction or truth:  Reality 

What Jackson has actually done through 3 video games is the things of legend. Jackson is the very first gamer in the Super Bowl age to have 10 pass goals and 100 hurrying backyards through 3 starts, coming off an efficiency which he went 18 of 29 for 218 backyards with 4 goals and one interception while likewise hurrying for 107 backyards and a rating. 

Jackson has successive video games with 100 hurrying backyards and is the very first quarterback to have back-to-back video games with 100-plus hurrying backyards two times in his profession. He has more death and hurrying goals (12) through the very first 3 video games than his MVP season (8). He likewise has more hurrying backyards (243) than his MVP season (172) and is balancing a little less backyards per bring (8.5) than the MVP year (8.6) through 3 video games. 

Jackson is the factor Baltimore has a high-powered offense and is an AFC competitor. He’s the MVP front-runner through 3 weeks. 

The Bills can’t be taken seriously as Super Bowl favorites up until they win one-score video games

Overreaction or truth:  Reality 

Buffalo lacked 6 beginners and simply played a hard video game on the roadway in severe heat, yet discovered another method to lose a one-score video game. The Bills are 0-7 in one-score video games given that the start of last season, that includes the divisional playoff collapse to the Chiefs (a video game Buffalo ought to have ended up). 

The Bills have the longest active losing streak in one-score video games in the NFL, although they outgained the Dolphins by 285 backyards. Buffalo was 11 of 18 on 3rd down and 2 of 4 at a loss zone. How did the Bills lose? 

Josh Allen fumbled inside his own 10-yard line that resulted in a Dolphins rating and eliminated a basket chance on a mishandled breeze on a spike effort. Tyler Bass missed out on a basket and Gabe Davis dropped a goal. 

Buffalo is too excellent to keep losing one-score video games, however the Bills need to end the miscues when the video game is tight. The Bills are packed, however they need to break this hex if they wish to be the conference favorites they are being billed as. 

The Chiefs require to include a running back when the trade due date gets here 

Overreaction or truth:  Overreaction

Kansas City should not be prepared to enter that instructions yet, however Andy Reid might not have actually liked what he saw in Sunday’s loss to the Colts. Jerick McKinnon was chewing out his colleagues over their efficiency, which led to the Chiefs balancing simply 2.5 backyards a bring and amounting to 58 hurrying backyards. Patrick Mahomes was the leading rush with 26 backyards. 

McKinnon had just 7 brings for 20 backyards while novice Isiah Pacheco had 3 brings for 9 backyards. Clyde Edwards-Helaire had 7 brings for no backyards. The Chiefs offending line hasn’t been terrific producing holes, however the running backs need to improve. 

The Chiefs are balancing simply 93 hurrying backyards per video game and the hurrying overalls are decreasing every week. The running back circumstance is on alert, however no factor to update yet. 

Tom Brady is beginning to appear like an aging quarterback 

Overreaction or truth:  Overreaction

Not prepared to decrease this bunny hole yet, even if Brady has simply 3 goal travels through 3 weeks and the Buccaneers have yet to rating over 20 points in any of their 3 video games played. 

Brady was 31 of 42 for 271 backyards with a goal and no interceptions without Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Julio Jones. He was tossing to the similarity Russell Gage, Breshad Perriman, Jaelon Darden, and Cole Beasley — not precisely the getting group he came out of retirement for.  

Evans, Godwin and Jones have actually played 13 snaps together this season which is why Brady has his least pass goals through 3 video games and his least expensive passer score (89.2) given that 2014. Let’s wait up until Brady’s leading playmakers return prior to we leap to the conclusion that the 45-year-old is lastly revealing his age.

The Lions need to discover how to complete video games

Overreaction or truth:  Reality 

The Lions blew a 10-point lead and got outscored 14-0 in the last quarter of a video game they controlled early. In their 5 fourth-quarter ownerships, Detroit punted two times, turned the ball over on downs, missed out on a basket and Jared Goff tossed a desperate interception after the Vikings took the lead. 

Detroit ran 27 plays for 80 backyards without any points. On a fourth-and-4 up 3 points with 1:14 staying, Dan Campbell chose to try a 54-yard basket to put the Lions up 6 after going 4 of 6 on fourth-down shots previously in the video game. A complicated choice on 4th down set the Vikings up with excellent field position to drive down the field for the winning rating. 

This was a video game the Lions need to need to take the next action under Campbell. This group is much better, however Campbell needs to coach them to wins in addition to ready them. 

Jameis Winston is back to his Tampa Bay self 

Overreaction or truth:  Reality 

Winston installed huge numbers in the loss to the Panthers (25 of 41, 353 backyards, goal), however tossed 2 interceptions and stopped working to get Alvin Kamara associated with the offense in his return. The Saints offense was irregular throughout the afternoon as Winston as soon as again had a hard time on passes of 10-plus air backyards — tossing no goals to 5 interceptions on the year (consisting of 2 Sunday). 

Carolina put the pressure on Winston and he felt the heat, making errant choices and just targeting Chris Olave and Tre’Quan Smith. Winston is appearing like the quarterback the Buccaneers abandoned 3 years back, an awful indication for the Saints. 

Overreaction or truth:  Reality 

Only required one video game of Herbert for this one to take shape, as the No. 2 running back ended up with 20 brings for 157 backyards and 2 goals as Chicago enhanced to 2-1 on the year. Herbert balanced 7.9 backyards per bring as the Bears ended up with 281 backyards on the afternoon — balancing 7 backyards per bring as a group. 

Sure it was just the Texans and the Bears require to toss the football more, however the offense definitely used down the Texans defense throughout the video game and managed the time of ownership. Chicago does not trust Fields tossing the football, nor do they appear to have a tactical plan to assist him establish.

Herbert is the play here. The Bears are winning video games as an outcome. 

Cardinals’ sluggish starts will doom Kliff Kingsbury 

Overreaction or truth:  Reality 

The Cardinals have actually just led as soon as through 3 video games — which was on a fumble healing goal in overtime. Kliff Kingsbury has actually been outmatched at the start of video games, consisting of Sunday after Arizona had simply 22 backyards after 4 drives. 

The Rams leapt out to a 13-0 lead prior to the Cardinals might get anything going, although Arizona stopped working to score a goal at a loss zone and went 6 of 18 on 3rd downs. Arizona ran 72 plays on its last 5 ownerships and scored simply 12 points. 

What Kingsbury is doing isn’t working and the Cardinals require to enter into a rhythm to get this season on track. Kingsbury’s seat is getting warmer, however Arizona has Carolina, New Orleans, and Seattle in 3 of the next 4 weeks. There’s chances to turn the year around — and DeAndre Hopkins will be back quickly.

The Falcons are the second-best group in the NFC South

Overreaction or truth:  Overreaction

There are even worse groups in the league than the Falcons — 2 of them might really remain in their department. Atlanta had the ability to beat Seattle on the roadway with an excellent offending efficiency in which Arthur Smith came out swinging. Atlanta plays tough for its coach and the offense is showcasing it isn’t the issue. 

Marcus Mariota will not be benched whenever quickly and Cordarrelle Patterson has actually ended up being a genuine risk on the ground. With the method the Panthers and Saints have actually begun their seasons, the Falcons remain in the discussion with them for the second-best group in the department (and they had a double-digit lead over the Saints in Week 1). 

Carolina and New Orleans might be much better, however Atlanta will offer these groups all they can deal with. The Falcons aren’t a simple out. 

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