NFL Week 3 picks, odds, best bets: Eagles fly past Carson Wentz, Chiefs make slight work of Colts

Week 2 of the 2022 NFL season was definitely unreasonable, and when weeks are definitely unreasonable, that indicates bettors most likely didn’t discover constant success. For example, perhaps taking the Las Vegas Raiders or Baltimore Ravens first-half moneyline was a much better bet than full-time moneyline. The 1 p.m. returns were unbelievable, as the Cleveland Browns made 37-year-old Joe Flacco look elite, and Tua Tagovailoa tossed 4 goal passes in the 4th quarter.

One thing I discovered was to keep away from the Detroit Lions, since they are accountable for 2 of my misses out on amongst my leading 5 choices. I’m sensation more positive about today compared to Week 2, so let’s have a look at what I’m thinking. 

As constantly, credit to the CBS Sports research study group for making me sound clever. 

All chances come thanks to Caesars Sportsbook

Top 5 choices ATS record: 3-7
Overall ATS record: 13-19
Straight up record: 14-17-1

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox)

Latest Odds:

Philadelphia Eagles

Carson Wentz gets a possibility to enact some vengeance versus the group that prepared him No. 2 total in 2016, as the Eagles visit the Commanders. Unfortunately for Washington, things are going extremely well for its department competitor. Philly is 2-0 and coming off of an excellent 24-7 success over the Minnesota Vikings. Jalen Hurts scored 3 overall goals, while Darius Slay locked down Justin Jefferson — obstructing Kirk Cousins two times when the star wideout was targeted. 

It’s worth discussing that Wentz is the 3rd noteworthy previous Eagles quarterback to sign up with Washington in addition to Sonny Jurgensen and Donovan McNabb, and both Jurgensen and McNabb won their very first rematches versus the Eagles. However, Jurgensen and McNabb were much better gamers than Wentz. That’s not to state Wentz hasn’t been strong with Washington as much as this point, however the Eagles are in general a much better group than the Commanders. Philly’s ground video game will move the Eagles to success, as Washington enables approximately 7.5 backyards per rush this season, which is worst in the NFL

When I took a look at this line a couple of days earlier, it was PHI -4.5. I’m still great taking it under 7. 

The choice:  Eagles -6.5
Projected rating: Eagles 35-28

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

Latest Odds:

Kansas City Chiefs

I never ever wish to get ahead of myself and I will never ever ensure you anything however taxes and death, however this line puzzles me. I get that the Chiefs came out extremely slow versus the Los Angeles Chargers recently, however are they not still a leading 5 group in essentially everybody’s power rankings? 

The Colts on the other hand are rattled — and I would be too. You open the year connecting with the Houston Texans, and after that get burnt out by the Jacksonville Jaguars. Yikes. Sharps are plainly on the Colts in this area, nevertheless, as the line fell from K.C. -6.5 to K.C. -5.5 on Wednesday. That’s fine, I’ll take the additional point.

Patrick Mahomes has actually tossed 7 goals and absolutely no interceptions this season. Remember, it’s still September, and the Chiefs QB is 13-2 in the month with 48 passing goals compared to simply 3 interceptions tossed. The Chiefs have actually likewise won 9 straight regular-season video games with prolonged rest, which is the longest active streak in the NFL. 

The choice:  Chiefs -5.5
Projected rating: Chiefs 30-20

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox)

Latest Odds:

Baltimore Ravens

Some are frightened to lay the points with the Ravens given that, one, this is the Patriots house opener, 2, the Patriots defense has actually been stout, and 3, the Ravens stumbled in Week 2 — blowing a 21-point fourth-quarter lead in the house. At the very same time, we can’t simply ignore the reality that New England’s offense is balancing simply 12 points through 2 video games, while Baltimore is balancing 31 points per video game. I’m banking on Lamar Jackson and Co. utilizing recently’s loss as fuel moving on.

All the patterns state that the Patriots ought to win this video game directly, however I’m bucking all of them. This Patriots group is not like the Patriots groups of old, and they will need to match among the most explosive offenses in the NFL Sunday.

The choice:  Ravens -3
Projected rating: Ravens 26-20

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox)

Latest Odds:

Las Vegas Raiders

As CBS’s homeowner Titans author, I can inform you that Tennessee remains in major problem. Ryan Tannehill hasn’t been fantastic, Derrick Henry hasn’t appeared like himself, offending coordinator/play-caller Todd Downing is rapidly ending up being the most disliked guy in the Music City, left deal with Taylor Lewan might be lost for the year, the run defense has actually taken a significant action in reverse from last season, the cornerback play is even worse than individuals recognize and the pass-rushers are banged-up. Should I simply stop there?

The Raiders are 0-2 too, however I believe it’s quite simple to think what their tactical plan will be come Sunday. On offense, attack the young cornerbacks with Davante Adams and Darren Waller. On defense, usage Maxx Crosby and Chandler Jones to ruin a backup left deal with and novice right deal with. Just in case you forgot, Jones acquired 5 sacks and 2 forced fumbles the last time he played the Titans.

The choice:  Raiders -2
Projected rating: Raiders 27-20

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)

Latest Odds:

San Francisco 49ers

The Broncos were not my choice to win the stacked AFC West this season, however I certainly feel as though I overstated them. First-year head coach Nathaniel Hackett made the incorrect call with the video game on the line in Week 1, and he once again had a hard time on fourth-down calls/field objectives in Week 2. There’s no factor the Broncos ought to have been that close with the Texans, and while they eventually won, fans did not leave Empower Field at Mile High sensation triumphant. Denver is 0 of 6 at a loss zone this year, leading the league in charges, winless versus the spread and now needs to take on versus the most difficult group it has actually played so far.

As for the 49ers, can you think their luck? You practically can’t comprise this story. They attempted to carry on from Jimmy Garoppolo this offseason, stopped working to do so and now are thanking their fortunate stars they have him after Trey Lance’s injury. No one is commemorating Lance breaking his ankle, however Jimmy G is going to benefit from this chance. I still do not believe Garoppolo is among the elite signal-callers in the NFL, however he corresponds enough. The 49ers are 31-14 with Garoppolo, and 9-29 with all other beginning quarterbacks given that 2017. This line was a choice’em simply a couple of days earlier, however is now relocating the 49ers’ instructions — and for great factor in my viewpoint.

The choice:  49ers -1.5
Projected rating: 49ers 24-21

Other Week 3 choices

Browns 23-20 over Steelers (+4)
Bengals (-6) 28-21 over Jets
Vikings 33-30 over Lions (+6)
Texans (+2.5) 20-17 over Bears
Saints (-2.5) 24-20 over Panthers
Bills 30-27 over Dolphins (+5.5)
Chargers (-7) 28-20 over Jaguars
Packers (CHOICE) 21-20 over Buccaneers
Falcons (+1) 29-27 over Seahawks
Rams 27-24 over Cardinals (+3.5)
Cowboys (+1) 23-20 over Giants

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