NFL Week 3 picks, odds: Eagles upset Cowboys, Bucs topple Rams, Dolphins surprise Raiders

The enjoyable feature of conference Week 1 of the NFL season and Week 2 of the NFL season in the exact same space is you lastly get to invest some quality time with a lot of phonies.

Week 3 is everything about determining where the fact sits in between — for a a great deal of groups — 2 hugely diverse efficiencies. What’s the mean efficiency for these clubs who differed hugely in the very first 2 weeks of the season. 

The 2nd week of the season is everything about treading thoroughly and anticipating regression. This week is a huge landmine where we find out some real details about NFL groups. Good luck out there, let’s remain warm. 

All NFL chances are through Caesars Sportsbook

NFL Week 3 Picks

Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET
TELEVISION:
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Latest Odds:

Houston Texans
+8

The Texans quarterback scenario continues to be among the most bewildering scenarios in the NFL. The Texans obviously intend on entering into this video game with a single active novice quarterback while utilizing nearly 6 percent of their active lineup on quarterback areas. Unless Tyrod Taylor (eliminated with a hamstring injury early in the week) goes on the IR, he’ll likely sign up with Deshaun Watson (probably non-active for the 3rd straight week to begin the year) as squandered lineup areas for a group not precisely packed with skill. This is an unusually big number for a preseason non-contender on the roadway in Week 3. It recommends the Panthers would be 13.5-point favorites in the house. It’s most likely excessive for a Sam Darnold-led group, however returning and seeing Carolina’s win over the Saints … the Panthers look legit. The defense is flying all over the location and Phil Snow is formulating all sort of issues for quarterbacks by having Jeremy Quinn and Shaq Thompson live at the line of skirmish to produce petrifying developments. Offensively, Darnold isn’t the most well-protected QB in the NFL however Joe Brady is providing him great appearances and simple checks out and he’s carrying out actually well. They might roll the Texans up in this one with Davis Mills under center on a brief week. 

The choice:  Panthers 28, Texans 14

Props, Best Bets: Under 44, Mark Ingram over 40.5 rushing/receiving backyards, Brandin Cooks under 70.5 getting backyards

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Jacksonville Jaguars
+7.5

Two weeks into the Jaguars season, Urban Meyer has actually been required to reject reports he’d leave for Southern Cal and provide a declaration through the group’s Twitter account informing fans it’s going to get much better. The entire thing is rather the mess. But the Jaguars aren’t missing their quarterback, who need to set up some points versus this doubtful Cardinals secondary. You generally need to hold your nose and take the Jags with the points here, presuming we can find out a method to get a backdoor cover worst case. Either method we’re getting a lot of points here, due to the fact that Jacksonville will not have the ability to decrease Kyler Murray and the Cardinals offense.

The choice:  Cardinals 31, Jaguars 24

Props, Best Bets: Over 52, trying to find Rondale Moore receptions over and Kyler Murray goal props

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Sunday,1 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Detroit Lions
+8

The Lions most likely will not be popular today due to the fact that of how things ended on Monday night, however they have actually certainly been a friskier than anticipated club through the very first 2 weeks of the season. And there’s a likelihood Detroit can offer Baltimore some fits here. We’ve seen Darren Waller and Travis Kelce as centerpieces of the offense for Ravens challengers currently and now they’re getting T.J. Hockensen, who need to consume in this area. Love his over catches, specifically if Detroit is routing. The Ravens will have the ability to manage the ball and run a lot, however they will not go nuclear on offense. And with the Lions in the house in a lower scoring video game, I anticipate them to find out how to get in the number prior to the last whistle.

The Pick: Ravens 31, Lions 24

Bets: Hockensen props 

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Pittsburgh Steelers
-3

Pittsburgh’s Week 1 win in Buffalo raised eyebrows about incorrect preseason judgments on the Steelers. But recently was a disrespectful re-awakening. T.J. Watt suffered a groin injury, Ben Roethlisberger is maybe/kind of doubtful for today. Diontae Johnson suffered a last-minute injury. Joe Burrow and the Bengals offense expose an undecided secondary. I do not believe we’ll see much hostility from either group, so I’d bet under and lean Bengals plus a spray on the moneyline.

The Pick: Bengals 21, Steelers 17

Bets: Under 44

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TELEVISION:
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

New York Giants
-3

The Falcons have actually looked abysmal up until now this season. Arthur Smith’s offense is truly drawing big warnings for its run-heavy method. Through 2 weeks, Matt Ryan looks prepared. And Kyle Pitts may not measure up to the preseason dream buzz. But the Giants do not look excellent either! Daniel Jones is coming off such an excellent video game — perhaps the very best of his profession — morons like me are getting him for dream today. What might fail. These defenses are bad enough we might see some unexpected scoring here. If that holds true, offer me the points with the group not collaborated by Jason Garrett.

The Pick: Falcons 31, Giants 28

Bets: Falcons +3, Daniel Jones over rush backyards 27.5

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Tennessee Titans
-5

The tip I’ve seen is this line would be Titans -2 if Carson Wentz was playing — I would certainly take the complimentary 3 points, however I would not hesitate to lay 5 if Wentz was really playing in this video game. He’s a couple weeks gotten rid of from foot surgical treatment and is handling 2 sprained ankles. Many individuals do not recognize this however 2 is really the optimum variety of sprained ankles a human can have at any offered time. Regardless, I believe it’s most likely we get either a primarily stable Wentz or Jacob Eason in his very first profession start. The Titans discovered something late versus Seattle, pounding Derrick Henry till he popped off for 3 goals and some huge runs. Mike Vrabel will wish to conserve him for the stretch run like in seasons past, however this is an enormous department video game and they’re going to uncork the Big Dog, specifically if they draw an unskilled quarterback on the other side. 

The Pick: Titans 28, Colts 17

Bets:  Titans -5

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TELEVISION:
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Cleveland Browns
-7

Think this video game will get any appearances? Bears fans invested all offseason shouting at the franchise to play Justin Fields. Now Andy Dalton is injured. Only he stays the starter when healthy. Fields is the person today. It’s a coin turn on how this goes — Matt Nagy has actually not been passionate about Fields and the Browns are a bad-ish defense to begin versus based upon the very first 2 weeks of the season. But Nagy need to likewise be inspired to make Fields look excellent. Do that and take in the credit of an extension. If he’s an excellent offending coach he’s investing this whole week cooking up a totally various playbook with a lot of play-action and read-option things. Obviously that’s more difficult to do on the fly, however this day was coming. There requires to be a lot of Fields-friendly have fun with play-action/read-option things in the very first quarter. If that takes place the Bears can win this one outright. I’ll take the points and Fields over hurrying backyards when it’s under 30.

The Pick: Browns 21, Bears 17 

Bets: Bears +7.5, Fields over rush backyards 

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Kansas City Chiefs
-6.5

The Chargers have actually been extremely Chargers-y for the very first 2 weeks of the season, however this line is excessive. The Chiefs are excellent. They’ll run the ball well here and Patrick Mahomes will toss a lot of goals. But the Chargers simply can’t be this low-scoring group permanently. They need to pop off. This is the week. Basically it takes place due to the fact that Andy Reid’s offense goads Joe Lombardi and Justin Herbert into being more aggressive and we get downfield plays in a big department match. The Chargers are high-key desperate. Love them versus the spread and offer me overs on Austin Ekeler and Clyde Edwards-Helaire props in this video game. Strong capacity for the tricky big-time video game of the Week 3 slate here. 

The Pick: Chiefs 37, Chargers 35

Bets: Over 54.5, Chargers +7, Austin Ekeler over 37.5 getting backyards

Football Team at Bills 

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TELEVISION:
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Buffalo Bills
-7.5

Everyone is recommending it’s been a sluggish start for the Bills, basing the property on Buffalo refraining from doing what they did the very first 2 weeks in 2015. This group is great. But this number is a bit out of whack. Ron Rivera understands Sean McDermott’s propensities. Look at any of these matches in between Andy Reid proteges and you see a style where the video games are close. Rivera will play a defense developed to turn Josh Allen into a more conservative quarterback. Taylor Heinicke and Terry McLaurin will make adequate plays to keep Washington close. The wild card for the side and overall is the weather condition. Specifically the wind! Shoutout to my buddies Drew and Andy on the Deep Dive Podcast for pointing this out — incredibly long story however they’re huge wind men and yet still a really helpful listen — however it might be nasty weather condition in Buffalo. If we get Big Wind, that prefers the under and the pet dog. It would likewise prefer actually brief overs on Devin Singletary and Antonio Gibson bring numbers for prop functions.

The Pick: Bills 19, Washington 14

Bets: WFT + anything over 7

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

New England Patriots
-3

Are the Saints the hardest group to find out in the NFL? One week after blowtorching the Packers, the Saints might hardly move the ball versus the Panthers. Carolina tossed a lot of various-looking defenses at Jameis Winston and brought pressure from all different locations. The loss of Erik McCoy appeared crucial even as the deals with primarily held their own. The genuine Saints offense is someplace in between, however Bill Belichick will not provide much of a reprieve. I like the under here a lot too, however at 41.5 it is difficult to take, even if a single jailbreak or protective rating might turn this. If the Saints have a tidy injury report on defense, I may be happy to bite.  

The Pick: Patriots 21, Saints 17

Bets: Pats -3

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Las Vegas Raiders
-4

Derek Carr up versus Jacoby Brissett. Watch out, here come the rankings! This is a fascinating heat check scenario. The Raiders offense is rolling and the Dolphins do not have their beginning quarterback. Naturally the line moved … half a point. Clearly the preliminary line baked in the Tua injury. Brissett is an excellent NFL backup and I would not be surprised if he might set up some numbers versus a quite porous/but overachieving defense in Las Vegas. The Raiders need to win this video game and cover quickly. But the number is red flagging this for me. Miami may be the one group invulnerable to the appeals of Las Vegas on the roadway. I’m smelling an upset. 

The Pick: Dolphins 24, Raiders 17

Bets: Dolphins +4 and Dolphins ML spray 

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Minnesota Vikings
+1.5

Fun video game here from a script point of view. Neither Mike Zimmer nor Pete Carroll wishes to do what’s finest for their group and let loose the offense. But as quickly as one does, the other will. If the Seahawks struck a long pass play early, the Vikings get stopped and Seattle ratings once again, this is a live over video game the entire method. It may not matter truthfully — if the Vikings have a 14-point lead, the Seahawks will begin slinging it too. The over is a bet however if you can live wager wait and see how the very first 5 minutes go and get a much better number. Clean weather condition, 2 bad secondaries, an enormous overall for 2 run-heavy groups. This will be an afternoon shootout. Might include overtime. 

The Pick: Seahawks 35, Vikings 31

Bets: Seahawks -2, Over 55.5, Tyler Lockett anytime TD 

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Los Angeles Rams
+1.5

My goodness! What a set of afternoon video games we have here. I’m a huge fan of both these groups, and while I’m totally vindicated Matthew Stafford-sensible when it pertains to the Rams, I might have undersold the Buccaneers. Tom Brady is on the war course. If you desire a geek example, he’s generally Ultron (perhaps stop messing in the laboratory a lot, Bill). Unfortunately all the other NFL groups can’t integrate forces to eliminate him so he’s simply going to select the whole league up and drop it on itself en path to a 4th Hall of Fame profession within a single profession. 

Realize now instead of later on what the Bucs offense will do. Brady is on a warpath and he’s going to publish big numbers. Take the Bucs and the over here. Plus whatever Brady props are within factor. If you see a 1.5 goal number it’s automated, Chris Godwin overs are great if offered. Antonio Brown being in limbo on covid as this is composed inconveniences. The over here is so huge however this might develop into a 30’s shootout quickly. I believe I wish to either wait to wager it live over or under depending upon how it begins. 

The Pick: Buccaneers 31, Rams 27

Bets: Bucs, Brady overs

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Denver Broncos
-10.5

The Broncos are precisely like the Panthers on Thursday night. Do you purchase in to what you’ve seen? If you believe it’s a mirage, take the points and proceed. You can get either 8 points in the house or 11 points on the roadway in Week 3 versus groups who were at finest 2-1 to make the playoffs. But having actually viewed the Panthers and Broncos today I’m going to lay the points. Carolina I explained above. Denver most likely has a much better defense today than the Panthers, even with Bradley Chubb going through surgical treatment. Vic Fangio is going to WRECK Zach Wilson. If the Jets had a defense I would concur they might tinker the Broncos, however Teddy Bridgewater is playing some excellent football today, he’s difficult vertically and the Broncos offense isn’t playing afraid. This is a blowout. 

The Pick: Broncos 31, Jets 10

Bets: Nah

Packers at 49ers

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
NBC | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

San Francisco 49ers
-3

The just factor it’s challenging to take the Packers is the last, ooooooooh, couple of video games in between these groups. Kyle Shanahan bends his offense on individuals who utilized to work for him and has actually regularly played chess with Matt LaFleur while the Packers coach attempted to handle a connect-the-dots scenario in the house. I was totally prepared to take the Packers with the points here and see Aaron Rodgers uncork for a 2nd straight video game. The issue is the Packers defense looks horrendous. Green Bay’s D was getting shredded by Jared Goff till it began arbitrarily putting from the paradises like Lombardi required it. Man I can’t wait to triple down on Trey Sermon in DFS throughout this video game. 

The Pick: 49ers 28, Packers 21

Bets: Nope

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
ESPN | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Dallas Cowboys
-4

The Cowboys offense is considerably much better than in 2015 at this time. Credit to Mike McCarthy for providing Kellen Moore a method larger function in the playcalling. Maybe it took a year of collaborating sans Dak to really make this work much better. At 3 I would take the Cowboys. At 4? I’m gonna bank on Devonta Smith (aka the brand-new DeSean Jackson) to make life difficult for Dallas down to completion. Jalen Hurts is a player. This over looks yummy if the Cowboys are at complete strength on the offending line and Nick Sirrianni is utilizing the RPO principles he broke out in Week 1. 

The Pick: Eagles 31, Cowboys 28

Bets: Eagles +4, Over 51.5

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