NFL Week 5 picks: Bills shock Chiefs in Kansas City, Chargers win thriller over Browns in Los Angeles

I’d like to begin things off here today by congratulating the New York Jets, who beat the Tennessee Titans for what was quickly the most stunning win of Week 4. I’d state the Titans had the worst weekend of anybody in the NFL, other than Urban Meyer exists, so that’s not real. 

I’m not stating Meyer is attempting to get fired so he can make himself readily available for the USC task, however I’m not not stating that. Meyer will really be training versus the Titans today, so among those 2 will absolutely be humiliating themselves for a 2nd straight week. 

So which one will it be? 

Let’s get to the choices and discover. 

Actually, prior to we get to the choices, here’s a fast suggestion that you can have a look at the weekly choices from every NFL professional by click on this link, however you do not require to click over today, since we have more crucial things to discuss today, like why you ought to register for the Pick Six newsletter that we have here at 

Based on my unscientific research study, I’ve discovered that approximately 57% of individuals who read this chooses column desire they might get an e-mail from me every day. Well, YOU CAN. I compose the Pick Six newsletter and it comes out each week day. If you desire it sent your inbox, all you need to do is click on this link and subscribe. Once you register, you’ll begin getting one e-mail each day where I’ll be discussing every NFL-related subject I can think about and even ones I can’t think about. If you’re questioning how that’s possible, you’ll need to subscribe. 

Although I’m composing the newsletter, I still make time in my hectic schedule to trouble Will Brinson 3 days weekly on the Pick Six Podcast. For Tuesday’s episode, which you can listen to below, we invested approximately 27 minutes disputing whether the Chargers are the very best group in the AFC West and after that we invested another 3 minutes arguing about where the Raiders are going to complete in the department. 

Alright, that suffices self-promotion for one week, let’s get to the choices. 

NFL Week 5 Picks

N.Y. Jets (1-3) vs. Atlanta (1-3) in London

9:30 a.m. ET (NFL Network)

Latest Odds:

Atlanta Falcons

After a two-year hiatus, the London video games are lastly returning, which is excellent news for me, since I have a great deal of tea and crumpets in my kitchen that requirement to be taken in. Sure, I might have consumed the crumpets and consumed the tea at any point over the previous 2 years, however that’s not how I do things. The just time I take in tea and/or crumpets is on Sunday early mornings when there’s an NFL video game being played in London. 

It’s most likely a good idea that there were no worldwide video games in 2015, since that makes it most likely that individuals of London will not be distressed that we’re sending them the Jets and Falcons. Normally, I’d state that’s probably an act of war, however they’re going to be so pleased simply to have football that they’re not going to care that we’re sending them 2 of the worst groups in the NFL. 

That being stated, this video game might really get insane which’s since almost every Falcons video game in some way winds up being definitely bonkers. The last time the Falcons went to London back in 2014, they blew a 21-0 halftime cause the Lions and lost 22-21, which I think is still kept in mind as the best collapse in franchise history. Just joking, all of us understand that’s Super Bowl LI. 

I believe what I’m attempting to state here is that if you have actually viewed any Falcons video game ever, then you currently understand how this video game is going to play out: The Falcons will have a huge lead entering into the 2nd half and after that suffer a magnificent collapse that will nearly make you pity them, however then you’ll remember this occurs to them each week which they’re really utilized to it. 

The choice: Jets 22-19 over Falcons

Which choices can you make with self-confidence, and which Super Bowl competitor decreases hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which groups win and cover the spread, all from a tested computer system design that has actually returned nearly $7,900 because its beginning, and discover.

New Orleans (2-2) at Washington (2-2)

1 p.m. ET (CBS)

Latest Odds:

New Orleans Saints

After seeing Washington and the Saints over the very first month of the season, I’ve concerned understand that I obviously understand absolutely nothing about selecting any video game that includes either among these 2 groups. To be more clear: I am embarrassingly bad at selecting Saints and Washington video games. 

After 4 weeks, I’m 0-4 selecting Washington’s video games and I’m 0-4 selecting Saints video games making them the just 2 groups in the NFL that I’ve entirely whiffed on this year. If you do not like doing mathematics, that indicates I’m 0-8 combined selecting these 2 groups, which does not even appear possible when you think about that I’m 41-15 selecting video games that include the other 30 groups that aren’t Washington or New Orleans. 

I have not been this incorrect about anything because the time I attempted to encourage individuals that “Smurfs 2” was an excellent motion picture. Spoiler alert: It was not an excellent motion picture and it’s not even near as excellent as the very first “Smurfs” motion picture, which is an all-time traditional if you like motion pictures about small blue individuals.

The missed out on choices are beginning to leave hand. I indicate, in Week 4, I chose the Saints to beat the Giants and they blew an 11-point lead over the last 7 minutes. On Washington’s end, I chose them to lose to the Falcons and they in some way won despite the fact that they were losing by 8 with 4 minutes left. 

No matter what I forecast, it winds up being incorrect. If I anticipated the Saints to beat Washington by 47 today, they would lose by 74. 

Since the reverse of what I forecast constantly appears to occur when these 2 groups play, I’ve chose to take that into account and I’m going to forecast the reverse of what I believe is going to occur. My gut initially informed me to take the Saints, however I’m overlooking my gut and choosing Washington. Last week, I attempted this specific very same technique with the Chargers — I was 0-3 selecting their video games heading into Week 4 — and it worked. I am no longer winless selecting Chargers video games.

I’m taking Washington, and if they lose, I’m locking myself in a space with a “Smurfs 2” DVD and never ever coming out, well, other than perhaps to consume and utilize the restroom, and for other things, however primarily never ever coming out. 

The choice: Washington 20-17 over Saints

Denver (3-1) at Pittsburgh (1-3)

1 p.m. ET (Fox)

Latest Odds:

Pittsburgh Steelers

This video game is interesting to me, since I think it’s the only video game on the schedule today where both head coaches would choose to be beginning any other quarterback besides the one they’re beginning. In Denver, there’s a great chance that Drew Lock might be using Sunday due to the reality that Teddy Bridgewater suffered a concussion on Sunday. Basically, the Broncos are either going to be rolling with a banged up Bridgewater or a QB in Lock who led the Broncos to precisely absolutely no points in one half of action versus the Ravens. 

Normally, I’d state that prefers the Steelers, however their QB scenario isn’t better today. I indicate, Mike Tomlin was virtually pleading Aaron Rodgers to come play for Pittsburgh on Sunday. 

That’s like taking your partner out to supper and after that asking the waitress out on a date when she drops off the check. Ben is ON THE SIDELINE WITH YOU MIKE, he’s seeing you provide Aaron GOOGLY EYES.  

As you can most likely inform, I’m not anticipating much from either quarterback in this video game, which indicates it’s going to boil down to defense and unique groups play. Although I believe Roethlisberger is going to resist the Broncos, I believe Denver’s quarterback — whoever it is — is going to be even worse versus the Steelers. 

If this video game were being played in Denver, I’d most likely choose the Broncos, however it’s being played in Pittsburgh, so I’m rolling with the Steelers. 

The choice: Steelers 19-16 over Broncos

Cleveland (3-1) at L.A. Chargers (3-1)

4:05 p.m. ET (CBS)

Latest Odds:

Los Angeles Chargers

I’m not going to state that Browns coach Kevin Stefanski can turn water into white wine, however I do understand that he can work wonders which’s since he’s worked one in Cleveland. Stefanski hasn’t even been on the task for one and a half seasons and he currently has more wins (15) than the Browns 3 previous coaches COMBINED (14). 

The next wonder he’s going to need to work is finding out how to win a video game in the pacific time zone, since that’s something the Browns appear to have a hard time at. In their previous 10 journeys out west, the Browns have actually gone 1-9 straight-up which just win can be found in 2012, which resembles 27 coaches ago for the Browns. 

The Browns will likewise be entering into this video game with a QB who’s having problem with his precision. Since finishing 90.5% of his passes versus the Texans in Week 2, Baker Mayfield has actually forgotten how to toss the football. Over the previous 2 weeks integrated, Mayfield has actually tossed 30 incompletions (34 of 64) and finished simply 53.1% of his passes. Of those 30 misses out on, I’m quite sure 29 of them were tossed over Odell Beckham’s head on Sunday versus Minnesota.

Normally, when a quarterback is playing that terribly, I’d choose his group to lose by 3 goals, however this isn’t a typical scenario. For one, although the death video game isn’t up to par, whatever else appears to be clicking for the Browns from their defense to their running video game to their unique groups. 

That middle one is most likely the most crucial which’s since the Browns will be taking on a Chargers group that presently has among the worst rush defenses in football. With Mayfield having a hard time, I will not be amazed if Stefanski calls 45 run plays in this video game. 

The Browns have actually played in 2 roadway video games this year and they have actually both been chosen by one rating, so I think that indicates that I ought to presume that this video game is likewise going to be chosen by one-score.  

The choice: Chargers 23-20 over Browns

Buffalo (3-1) at Kansas City (2-2)

8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)

Latest Odds:

Kansas City Chiefs

If you saw the Chiefs video game in Week 4, you might have observed that they didn’t punt the whole video game. As a matter of reality, the Chiefs’ win over Philadelphia significant simply the 4th time in NFL history that a video game ended with 2 groups integrating for NO punts. 

The just factor I’m bringing that up is since the Chiefs punter may wish to go on and intend on removing today too. For that matter, Bills punter Matt Haack may likewise wish to think about taking the day of rest. I sense there aren’t going to be many punts on Sunday night which’s since this video game will include 2 of the 3 highest-scoring groups in the NFL. The Bills and Chiefs have actually each scored 33.5 points per video game this year, which is connected for the 2nd in the league. 

Basically, both of these groups have a high-scoring offense, so I’m believing that this is going to boil down to whose defense can play much better. Unfortunately for Kansas City, comparing these 2 defenses resembles comparing a covered wagon to a Ferrari: One is a lot better than the other that it nearly appears unjust to compare them. 

On the Chiefs’ end, they have not had the ability to stop anybody this year. Through 4 weeks, they have actually quit the 2nd most points in the NFL and the 2nd most backyards. On the other hand, the Bills have actually quit the least points in the NFL this season (simply 11 points per video game) and they have actually outscored their last 3 challengers by a combined rating of 118-21. They’ve likewise pitched 2 locked out through the very first 4 weeks, which is nearly unprecedented in NFL history. 

Speaking of the Super Bowl, I chose the Chiefs to get to the Super Bowl in each of the previous 2 years (2019, 2020) out of the AFC, however I didn’t choose them this year which’s since I took the Bills, which I believe methods I need to choose the Bills in this video game. 

The whole population of Buffalo may concurrently smash themselves through a folding table if the Bills manage the distressed on Sunday night so my suggestions to any story selling folding tables is to ensure you have as numerous in stock as possible heading into the weekend.

The choice: Bills 37-34 over Chiefs

NFL Week 5 choices: All the rest

Rams 26-23 over Seahawks
Packers 27-24 over Bengals
Titans 30-23 over Jaguars
Vikings 27-20 over Lions
Panthers 24-16 over Eagles
Cardinals 30-24 over 49ers
Patriots 23-13 over Texans
Raiders 31-24 over Bears
Buccaneers 27-17 over Dolphins
Cowboys 34-24 over Giants
Ravens 31-23 over Colts

Last Week 

Best choice: Last week, I anticipated that the Dolphins would score 17 points and lose to the Colts and think what occurred? The Dolphins scored precisely 17 points and lost to the Colts. Now, did I understand that Miami’s offense was going to fail on its face for the much better part of 3 quarters? Of course I did. I indicate, have you viewed this group play? The Dolphins offense didn’t work when Tua Tagovailoa was running it so there was a no percent possibility that it was going to deal with Jacoby Brissett running it. Also, the Dolphins presently have 2 offending organizers which resembles having 2 sweethearts who learn about each other and likewise dislike each other: You can attempt to encourage yourself that it’s going to work, however believe me, it’s not going to work. 

Worst choice: The Cardinals have actually been bad for so long that I’m essentially instantly configured to choose versus them in any huge video game, however I’m absolutely going to need to re-think things moving forward since that technique is truly beginning to backfire. Last week, I chose the Rams to ruin the Cardinals and if you saw the video game, you might have observed that the Rams absolutely didn’t ruin the Cardinals. As a matter of reality, I’m quite sure the opposite occurred, however i can’t state for sure since I turned the video game off at halftime to play Uno with my feline. That was far more pleasurable than seeing the Rams attempt to play football.  

Finally, if you men have actually ever questioned which groups I’m really proficient at selecting, here’s a glance: 

Teams I’m 4-0 selecting this year:  Colts, Texans, Jaguars, Broncos, Buccaneers, 49ers.

Teams I’m 0-4 selecting this year:  Washington, Saints. 

Picks Record

Straight up in Week 4: 10-6 (10-4 selecting video games that didn’t include the Saints or Washington)
SU total:  41-23 (41-15 selecting video games that didn’t include the Saints or Washington)

Against the spread in Week 4:  5-11 (Yikes)
ATS overall:  30-32-2

ESSENTIAL KEEP IN MIND: Ryan Wilson is an unreasonable 43-18-2 versus the spread this year and if you wish to know which groups he’s selecting to win in Week 5, then make sure to click on this link. I understand what you’re believing and yes, I have actually considered copying his choices, however that’s not possible since he does not make them till Tuesday night. 

Exact score forecasts:  1
Exact rating, incorrect winner:  2

You can discover John Breech on Facebook or Twitter and if he’s refraining from doing among those things, it’s since they’re both down.

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