NFL Week 7 picks, bets and odds: Tons of big underdogs beg the question, where is Chaos Week?

It took composing a long choices column to understand why my record was horrible recently. And it was BAD. I’ve been typing things on this site for a while and it’s most likely the worst week I’ve had. This isn’t an apology it’s simply me revealing my inconvenience at awaiting Pete Prisco’s podcast trap he’s been laying given that Sunday. 

This week is an excellent base test for the couple of weeks moving on. Is football wandering towards the baseball design? Because the previous 5 years or two, elite MLB groups struck this stretch of the season where they win lots of video games. The concept being MLB groups quit and get subdued by elite spenders like the Dodgers, Yankees, and so on. The Dodgers traded for Max Scherzer and Trea Turner this year. The Yankees went budget plan and included Anthony Rizzo. Even the Giants snagged Kris Bryant. 

A great deal of bad try-hard groups have huge spreads versus elite groups. I’m curious to see if a gulf is gonna develop or if we get the typical swing back from the NFL where standings tighten up. There hasn’t been a mayhem week yet this season. 

All NFL chances are by means of Caesars Sportsbook

NFL Week 7 Picks

Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET
TELEVISION:
Fox, NFL Network | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)
Follow:  CBS Sports App

Latest Odds:

Cleveland Browns
-1.5

This is a quite challenging video game to handicap prior to ooooooohhhh about 6:30 p.m. on Thursday. That’s due to the fact that it will be best around gametime when we understand the complete level of who will be readily available for the Browns and Broncos. Cleveland’s injury report is insane long and there are some crucial names on there: Jack Conklin, Jedrick Wills, Odell Beckham and a lot more. I’m of the belief you most likely wish to wait and see who is active and who isn’t prior to wagering this video game however today with the number more detailed to a choice I’m going to choose the Browns. Full disclosure: I took some Broncos +3.5 and will either return on the Browns at -1 or ML them to attempt and get a window. This is an odd video game. We’ll wager it however will not enjoy it. Don’t sleep on the possibility of Case Keenum triggering some “should Baker be the starter” discussions over the weekend.

The choice:  Browns 17, Broncos 12

Props, Best Bets: Noah Fant over getting backyards

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on this link)

Latest Odds:

Baltimore Ravens
-6.5

The Bengals are legitimate, I believe. Their defense is excellent, especially versus the run. Joe Burrow is beginning to truly come out of the post ACL injury thing. Jonah Williams isn’t getting sufficient credit for playing well at LT. And Ja’Marr Chase is an outright beast out there. The Bengals played things right in regards to the draft and it’s paying dividends. I’m uncertain if I’m one hundred percent offered on Zac Taylor as “the guy” yet however Bengals fans should not be either. John Harbaugh is the person, however, and Baltimore is cooking. Lamar Jackson is running less than ever this year, Marquise Brown is having a third-year breakout, Rashod Bateman has actually returned from injury and Mark Andrews appears like a beast out there. I believe the Ravens may be bending on individuals over the next couple of weeks.

The choice:  Baltimore 31, Bengals 17

Props, Best Bets: Ravens -6

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Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Tennessee Titans
+4.5

Massive, psychological win for the Titans on Monday night. They transfer to 4-2, host another AFC competitor they have actually coped in the past and get to go out Derrick Henry for another 30 brings hoping he can jailbreak a couple of. The Titans can keep this close if the video game goes the method they desire it — low-scoring/matching early, feed Henry, take some shots to A.J. Brown/Julio Jones (presuming both are healthy) and batter on a bad Chiefs defense. But Kansas City was sort of flying around recently. It was Washington, so caution away. But we have actually passed the buy-low point for the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes. They’re plus cash to win the department, a bet you ought to definitely make. And I sort of think they fire up a resurgence trip beginning here. Give me some heavy roadway chalk, what might fail. Actually I simply believe if the weapons are healthy they’ll discover methods to score late versus bad defenses like they have the last couple of weeks.

The Pick: Chiefs 31, Titans 21

Bets: Chiefs -6.5

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

New England Patriots
-7

Bill Belichick and the Pats are down in the dumps. Will that avoid them from surging a bad Jets group two times this season? Nope. The Jets are rested and Robert Salah/Zach Wilson have their review at the Patriots defense. New England’s D hasn’t been excellent this year however the offenses its dealt with have actually been difficult. And Belichick’s record versus rookie/young quarterbacks promotes itself. Lots of Pats basket and a comparable video game to the very first one.

The Pick: Patriots 24, Jets 10

Bets: Pats -7

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TELEVISION:
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Miami Dolphins
+2.5

This video game stinks out loud on a variety of levels. The Dolphins are returning from London without a bye week. The Falcons are returning from London … off their bye week. The Dolphins are being greatly pointed out as a trade prospect for Deshaun Watson. The chatter seems originating from Houston, which suggests the Texans are attempting to require the concern prior to the trade due date. And that will use considerable pressure to Tua Tagovailoa versus a bad defense. I sort of think he tosses up a huge video game here to press it back versus the Dolphins. Tua wasn’t bad in London, he simply had a definitely unpleasant “maybe I’m out on Tua” interception to the sideline, a toss that revealed his absence of arm strength. If the Dolphins can create pressure in advance, they can win this video game versus a mostly vulnerable Matt Ryan. I am concerned Miami is worn out and Ryan/Calvin Ridley/Kyle Pitts lob up bombs however the Falcons should not be preferred on the roadway. 

The Pick: Dolphins 24, Falcons 21

Bets: Calvin Ridley over backyards

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TELEVISION:
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

New York Giants
+3

No concept how to play the Dave Gettleman Bowl. The Giants undoubtedly can’t be preferred in any video game the remainder of the year and are handling a lots of injuries. Carolina looked horrible recently versus a much better than typical defense. This video game might include 10-15 turnovers from the quarterbacks alone. Both offending lines are issues. Ultimately it boils down to whether Sam Darnold or Daniel Jones turns the ball over more. Or less? One of them will win the turnover fight which’s how this video game gets chosen. The Panthers defense is certainly much better — if they get a lead, I’d be stressed they can sort of melt clock. But I’ll go points in the house here.

The Pick: Giants 21, Panthers 20

Bets:  Nope

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TELEVISION:
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Green Bay Packers
-7.5

Hate this video game too. Aaron Rodgers simply delicately blasted the Bears and now he’s at house versus a dreadful defense, however likewise has the unbeaten Cardinals turning up on Thursday in Week 8. I understand NFL groups do not have “lookahead” areas in theory, however they understand the schedule when there’s a video game in the house and a brief turn-around. That’s part of the strategy. Everyone knows. The WFT offense has actually been truly bad the last couple of weeks — Taylor Heinicke is not the magic service anybody was anticipating on a full-time basis, it does not appear. But the distinction in between the Chiefs and Packers is Green Bay will get a much shorter lead and leave somebody in a video game (see the Bears recently). Washington can backdoor this huge line.

The Pick: Packers 24, WFT 20

Bets: Pass

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-12.5

The Bears wished to come through the backdoor recently however Aaron Rodgers regrettably “still owns them.” Chicago was inside the number late and Rodgers bounced into completion zone for his viral minute. Justin Fields hasn’t been motivating in his starts. The Bears franchise tagged Allen Robinson and aren’t utilizing him. The offense is stagnant and the offending line is bad. The Bucs front 7 might consume versus this offense. They most likely will. If this line was less than 10 I’m most likely rolling Bears, however 12+ points is simply excessive for an NFL group with a top-10 defense. It’s simply going to be close like recently and the concern is can Fields really produce versus a bad pass defense. We saw the Eagles slip in the backdoor on Thursday recently, Chicago can do the exact same even if Tampa wins conveniently.

The Pick: Buccaneers 28, Bears 17

Bets: Look at Godwin overs if AB is harmed, RoJo over rush efforts 

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Los Angeles Rams
-15

Game of the week of the year — a quadruple vengeance video game. We have Matthew Stafford breaking his old group, Jared Goff breaking his old group, Goff and Sean McVay searching for vengeance versus each other for how things went down/trying to show the coach is better with the brand-new quarterback and Michael Brockers of the Rams talking smack about Goff versus Goff’s brand-new colleague Michael Brockers. I understand the 2nd I leave the Dan Campbell bandwagon they’ll discover a method to cover on my face however I believe there’s a larger incentive on McVay and Stafford to illuminate the Lions here than vice versa. This isn’t the Bucs video game for McVay however it may be close. He wishes to beat the living snot out of Goff and advise everybody why he made this huge offseason trade. Stafford is gonna have a huge video game here. The Lions will battle their asses off here, however I do not believe the Rams will slow down. 

The Pick: Rams 35, Lions 21

Bets: Stafford over pass backyards, Kupp over receptions, DJax anytime TD, D’Andre Swift over receptions

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Las Vegas Raiders
-3

It’s borderline difficult to envision the mental state of the Raiders today. Of all my bad choices recently absolutely nothing stings even worse than fading the Raiders due to the fact that of the Jon Gruden shooting, reading Vic Fangio stating the Broncos were terrified they’d be fired up and after that not altering my choice. Terrible. But this works both methods — there’s a natural psychological disappointment after that sort of efficiency. Derek Carr is playing excellent today and will most likely make me look silly. These groups are truly close and the spread shows it — if Carr keeps striking ceiling video games they’ll remain in the playoff race. But Hurts isn’t terrified to backdoor something and the Eagles are an issue in advance if you do not safeguard well. I see a pull down here. 

The Pick: Eagles 24, Raiders 21

Bets: Eagles +3.5

Texans at Cardinals

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Arizona Cardinals
-17.5

Every year these huge spreads are the worst. We’re talking a group that is an underdog by 3 ratings to Kliff Kingsbury. And I need to take them out of concept. It’s extremely frustrating. The Texans are god horrible, are missing out on Laremy Tunsil for a hot minute (a huge issue) and Arizona is excellent. J.J. Watt has actually juiced this group with an energy they didn’t have in the past and is likewise playing great football. But this number is an overreaction to the Texans getting smoked by the Colts and the Cards putting the Browns in a mixer. Arizona is excellent however three-score spreads are scheduled for impressive offenses versus dreadful groups. The Texans match. And this Cards group is among the couple of top-10 offensive and protective groups in the league. But 17-plus points is outrageous. The Texans might legit rating 10 points in this video game and still cover. Arizona isn’t playing a declaration video game here. They’ll shift to run heavy and melt if they get up huge early.

The Pick: Cardinals 24, Texans 7

Bets: Brandin Cooks overs, James Conner rollover

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
NBC | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

San Francisco 49ers
-4

Beware the DeForest Buckner vengeance video game. The 49ers have actually been a dissatisfaction this season, although I would argue the losses aren’t as bad as you keep in mind. Every single among the 49ers video games has actually been one rating this season, which is wild. Some of them were big shootouts (Week 1, *the Lions video game* aka the outrageous backdoor) and a few of them have actually been odd cars (they held the Cards to 17 prior to the bye). Carson Wentz has actually played effectively the last couple of weeks. Quenton Nelson and Darius Leonard are both returning for this video game if you think the flirty Colts tweets. “Must win” is a dumb expression constantly however it’s getting late early for the 49ers provided how the department is moving. 

The Pick: 49ers 31, Colts 24

Bets: Deebo Samuel over receptions

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET
TELEVISION: 
ESPN | Stream: fuboTV (click on this link)  

Latest Odds:

Seattle Seahawks
+4.5

Geno Smith and Jameis Winston are squaring off in the fight of quarterbacks we never ever understood we desired and, yet, we required. The Seahawks require to win this one. Really severely. To choose if they’re going to offer or not at the trade due date and possibly release a run of sorts after Russell Wilson returns. Anyone else and I’d rely on a longer healing, however Mr. Unlimited does not follow schedules. Geno wasn’t excellent versus the Steelers however they’re discovering areas to get him comfy. The Saints defense is sly elite however they’re most likely a reasonable compensation for Pittsburgh. And this is a season-flipping win for Seattle if they discover a method.   

The Pick: Seahawks 17, Saints 14

Bets: Pass



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