Panthers at Texans picks: Point spread, total, player props, trends for 'Thursday Night Football' in Week 3

The Carolina Panthers and Houston Texans will begin Week 3 in the NFL when they go head to head on “Thursday Night Football” tonight. The noteworthy heading entering this video game is that the Texans will not be led by Week 1 starter Tyrod Taylor as the veteran quarterback has actually arrived on IR due to a hamstring injury. That now puts novice Davis Mills under center versus what is progressing to be a stout Panthers defense that simply held the Saints to 7 points in Week 2. 

As the child prepares yourself for his very first start in the NFL, we’ll cover all the various wagering angles that this video game needs to use. Below, we’ll dive into the line motion throughout the week, have a look at some gamer props and, naturally, offer you our choices for how we see this video game unfolding. These clubs are 2 of the 5 staying groups in the NFL that are 2-0 ATS to start the season, so something will require to offer on Thursday night. 

All NFL chances through Caesars Sportsbook.

How to enjoy

Date: Thursday, Sept. 23 | Time:  8:20 p.m. ET
Location:  NRG Stadium (Houston)
TELEVISION: 
NFLN | Stream: fuboTV (shot for totally free)
Follow:  CBS Sports App
Odds:  Panthers -8, O/U 43

Line motion

Latest Odds:

Houston Texans
+8

The number opened at Carolina -7 and has actually leapt up a point as the week advanced. Only hours after it opened, it ticked up a half-point which held up till Wednesday when it bumped up once again to Carolina -8. 

The choice: Carolina -8. The Panthers are boasting the very best defense in the NFL at minute and will take on versus a novice quarterback that the Texans are presenting too soon due to the injury to Taylor. It’s a lot to ask of Mills to go toe to toe with this defense that simply held the New Orleans Saints to 7 points and simply 6 very first downs in Week 2. Meanwhile, Sam Darnold has actually looked strong to start his Panthers period and needs to have the ability to move the ball up and down the field. This seems like a double-digit win for Carolina. 

Key pattern:  Panthers are 7-0 ATS on the roadway. 

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Over/Under overall

There was some jockeying around today with the overall for this video game, however it has actually eventually discovered its method back to its opening variety of 43 since Wednesday night. It leapt down to 42.5 on Monday and increased as high as 44, however has actually because kicked back down to its initial number. 

The choice: Under 43. A novice quarterback betting an excellent defense in the Panthers is a dish for a low-scoring affair. In reality, it would not amaze me if Carolina kept the Mills-led Texans in the single digits on Thursday night. With that in mind, that’s a lot to ask of the Panthers offense to permit us to strike the Over here. The Under is likewise 4-1 for the Texans in their last 5 video games versus groups with a winning record. 

Key pattern: The Under is 5-0 for the Panthers over their last 5 video games. 

Sam Darnold props

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  • Passing goals:  1.5 (Over -150, Under +120)
  • Passing lawns:  264.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
  • Rushing lawns: 6.5 (Over -120, Under -110)
  • Pass efforts:  33.5 (Over -125, Under -105)
  • Completions: 23.5 (Over -105, Under -125)
  • Longest pass conclusion: 36.5 (Over -110, Under -120) 
  • Interceptions:  0.5 (Over +110, Under -140)

The over on Darnold’s passing lawns is where I’m leaning. He’s reviewed this overall in each of his very first 2 video games with the Panthers and the Texans must offer little resistance on Thursday night. Even if the Panthers dive out to an early lead, they might still want to pass the football as they burn down the clock to offer Darnold some chances to continue establishing within Joe Brady’s offense. I do not dislike the over on his 6.5 hurrying lawns prop, either. 

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  • Passing goals: 1.5 (Over +185, Under -230)
  • Passing lawns: 210.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
  • Pass efforts:  30.5 (Over -125, Under -105)
  • Completions: 18.5 (Over -125, Under -105)
  • Longest pass conclusion: 34.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
  • Interceptions:  0.5 (Over -190, Under +155)

There’s truly not fantastic worth in taking the Under on Mills’ passing goal overall, however I do not see him discovering completion zone two times. The 210.5 passing backyard mark might be noticeably low, however the Panthers are enabling simply 143.5 lawns through the air per video game up until now in 2021, that makes me lean towards that. 

Player props to think about

D.J. Moore 5.5 receptions: Over +110. Moore leads the Panthers in targets (19), taping 6 catches in Week 1 and 8 in Week 2.  

David Johnson 17.5 getting lawns: Over -115. I anticipate Mills to examine down a strong quantity, which might open more possibilities for Johnson in the death video game. He’s currently reviewed this overall in both his video games played this season, consisting of recently when he ended up with 22 lawns getting. 

Mark Ingram 9.5 hurrying efforts: Over -120. There’s constantly the threat that Houston requires to desert the run, however Ingram has 40 executes 2 video games. With this being listed below double digits, it’s a smash play, particularly with the theory that Houston might want to run early to permit Mills to alleviate into his very first NFL start.



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