Since the buzz around totally free representative Trea Turner and the Mets began constructing just recently, there have actually been some excited to shoot it down as absurd.
Why would the Mets desire Turner when they currently have Francisco Lindor?
Why would Turner wish to change positions, and where would he even use the Mets?
Why would the Mets invest a ton of cash in a position gamer who does not offer lots of power?
The above concerns are all rather legitimate, however flawed.
Turner is not a best suitable for the Mets, however he is among the very best gamers in baseball. And the Mets, who require to include a shock to their offense and might have lots of cash to spread out around depending upon the number of of their own totally free representatives they revive, must have great deals of interest in Turner — no matter the imperfect fit.
Should they sign him?
Turner will start next season at 29 years of ages and turn 30 on June 30, so he’s not precisely a kid. And there’s an opportunity he might get an offer for 8 years or more. That might be a heap to offer to somebody who creates great deals of worth with his legs and will be on the incorrect side of 30 — Turner has actually balanced 44 taken bases per 162 video games.
The Mets just recently offered a substantial offer to Lindor, however they doled it out prior to his age-27 season. For Turner, they’d be providing it to him prior to his age-30 season. And Lindor is a much better protector than Turner.
Speaking of Lindor, the Mets will be paying him $32 million every year through 2031, and they’ll likewise need to quickly pay Pete Alonso if they wish to keep him from leaving as a complimentary representative after the 2024 season.
Would the Mets be comfy having 3 position gamers making $30 million or more for a half years or longer? That will clearly depend upon how the remainder of the lineup is built, and it might get a severe facelift this offseason, with Brandon Nimmo potentially leaving by means of totally free company and a handful of other huge totally free representatives.
Now to attend to the elephant in the space…
Turner is a shortstop, and the Mets currently have Lindor. But Turner relocated to 2nd base in 2021 with the Los Angeles Dodgers to accommodate Corey Seager at brief. And if he wants to play 2nd base with the Mets, why should not they pursue him?
Maybe Turner does not wish to move off short, which would render any pursuit moot. But he is among 4 star shortstops (Carlos Correa, Xander Bogaerts, and Dansby Swanson are the others) in a congested totally free representative market. So possibly he wants to change positions if the best chance occurs.
Another “issue” with Turner is that he isn’t much of a crowning achievement player, and the Mets can definitely utilize more pop. But Turner has a profession .842 OPS and assists to offset his reasonably pedestrian crowning achievement power by smacking packages of doubles and getting on base an entire hell of a lot.
There’s likewise the matter of how finalizing Turner may affect the Mets’ payroll.
If they re-sign Jacob deGrom and likewise revive Nimmo, it’s tough to see a fit. But if the Mets lose one or both of them, rotating to Turner might make a great deal of sense.
Turner is among the very best gamers in baseball, and is a genuinely vibrant offending weapon.
A profession .302/.355/.487 player, Turner was the 13th most important gamer in baseball last season per fWAR. For recommendation, Lindor was seventh, Jeff McNeil was 21st, and Nimmo was 27th.
Adding Turner to a group that loses Nimmo would assist balance out that loss and after that some. But think of including Turner to a group with Nimmo, together with Lindor and McNeil and Alonso. It might make the Mets’ lineup definitely deadly.
Would it be smart for the Mets to sign Turner if they re-sign Nimmo? Yes. Would it be smart for the Mets to sign Turner if they re-sign Nimmo and deGrom? Probably not. There’s likewise a case to be made that letting Nimmo walk and fitting simply Turner and deGrom may be difficult. After all, the Mets have great deals of holes to fill this offseason in the rotation and bullpen, and they must likewise be seeking to sign a DH.
Yes, Steve Cohen can manage to do whatever he desires. But if the Mets have long, costly offers for Lindor, Turner, Nimmo, and the just recently re-signed Edwin Diaz on the books, together with 3 or 4 years of deGrom and 2 more of Max Scherzer, their payroll will be extremely top-heavy. And as kept in mind above, they’ll quickly need to pay Alonso.
That implies that if the Mets have genuine interest in Turner, they’ll most likely need to bid farewell to a minimum of among Nimmo or deGrom.
If it’s Nimmo who leaves, the Mets will need to change him in the outfield. And finalizing Turner would permit the Mets to move McNeil from 2nd base (where he began 95 video games last season) to a corner outfield area while moving Starling Marte back to center field.
If it’s deGrom who leaves, that will likely open a minimum of $40 million approximately over the next 3 or 4 seasons that would’ve otherwise been committed to him, possibly making a pursuit of Turner or another amazing position gamer most likely than it would be if deGrom stays.
And if the Mets were to lose both deGrom and Nimmo, it’s tough to see them not designating great deals of those dollars to another effect gamer or 2.
To be clear, the Mets should not be pursuing stars for the sake of it. And they should not be pursuing them in a reactionary method if they lose a few of their crucial internal totally free representatives.
But the Mets are smack in the middle of their World Series window, and they must be aggressive while attempting to win a title throughout that window. Turner would assist them do that.
Of all the external position gamer totally free representatives on the marketplace, which naturally consists of Aaron Judge and the 3 other star shortstops noted above, I believe Turner makes one of the most sense for the Mets.
And if I’m the Mets, I aim to fill the power space by finalizing Jose Abreu to be the DH.
As far as the Mets and Turner, it might just boil down to timing, specifically as it relates to deGrom’s future and — to a lower degree — Nimmo’s.
If deGrom drags his feet or indications elsewhere, things might get extremely fascinating — depending partly on what occurs with Nimmo and whether the Mets attempt to sign a various ace. And it does not get a lot more fascinating than Turner.