What to expect from Mets prospect Dom Hamel in 2023

Dominic Hamel / Courtesy Dallas Baptist University

When you think about the state of the Mets farm system, you hear everything about the bats that comprise the leading 7 potential customers on my top-20 list. There’s no rejecting they require pitching in the system.

In the 2021 MLB Draft, they tried to alter that with their very first 3 choices, and 8 of their very first 10, beginning the pitching side.

They took Vanderbilt righty Kumar Rocker initially, and we understand how that cleaned, high school righty Calvin Ziegler 2nd and today for me their second-best pitching possibility in the system, Dom Hamel, in the 3rd complete of Dallas Baptist.

The in 2015 or two is where we have actually seen the Mets broaden their analytics department to not simply the big-league group, however minors affiliates and significantly the MLB Draft. Hamel was a data-driven choice as he was explained to me at the time as “a spin-rate beast.”

Hamel has a four-pitch mix headed by a fastball that sits 93-94 mph and touches 96. That fastball plays up with about 20 inches of induced vertical break, which is an analytical translation for if you hear that a pitcher has a good “ride” on his fastball.

He has three secondary pitches, headlined by a slider with a spin rate that would rank among the top-25 or so in the major leagues right now and is a big swing-and-miss offering. His curveball is average right now, flashing above-average at times and his change-up lags behind the other two.

The 2022 season was a success for Hamel, as he pitched in both Low-A St. Lucie and High-A Brooklyn and earned the organization’s Pitcher of the Year award.

In 119 innings he posted a 10-3 record with a 3.25 ERA, allowing only 83 hits (6.3 hits-per-nine) while walking 54 (4.1 BB/9) and striking out 145 (11.0 K/9). One thing that was impressive is his ERA at the higher level in Brooklyn (2.59) was over a full run better than his ERA in St. Lucie (3.84). He also didn’t surrender a home run in Brooklyn.

Dominic Hamel

Dominic Hamel / Courtesy Dallas Baptist University

In 2023 I would expect the 23, turning 24-year-old, to begin the season in Double-A Binghamton which is considered to be the level that is a separator between true big-league prospects and not. The Mets have done a fantastic job of building up starting pitching depth on the 40-man roster. Right now, they are about 10 deep in arms that could reasonably start big-league games this season.

However, when I am inquired about beginning pitching potential customers that I might see beginning a big-league video game in 2023, the list isn’t long, and José Butto tops it.

But, I constantly like to advise individuals of Tylor Megill. When Megill was beginning in Double-A in 2021, I don’t believe anybody had him on the radar as somebody who would show up and begin video games. I can see the exact same possibility for Hamel, along with 2021 eighth-rounder Mike Vasil, if the requirement got to that level.

Whether Hamel stands for the Mets in 2023 or not, I believe he needs to be thought about among their leading pitching potential customers that fairly profiles as a future No. 4 starter. With a little bit more consistency and and enhanced command on his curveball and change-up, there’s a possibility for a little bit more.

One Mets individual informed me that Hamel has a feel for tossing strikes, however in some cases ‘his things simply moves excessive.’ If the command doesn’t get to the level it requires to, he has a flooring of a multi-inning reducer in the mold of the method the Mets made use of Seth Lugo.

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